Projected Income Statement: TUI AG

Forecast Balance Sheet: TUI AG

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 4,966 3,522 2,106 1,641 1,305 1,558 1,231 865
Change - -29.08% -40.2% -22.08% -20.48% 19.39% -20.99% -29.73%
Announcement Date 12/8/21 A 12/14/22 A 12/6/23 A 12/11/24 A 12/10/25 A - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: TUI AG

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 299.7 308.2 666.2 712.5 738.9 883.5 913.7 921.3
Change - 2.84% 116.16% 6.95% 3.71% 19.57% 3.41% 0.83%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -451 1,562 971.1 1,198 458 -133.7 616 733.3
Change - 446.36% -37.83% 23.4% -61.78% -129.18% 560.85% 19.05%
Announcement Date 12/8/21 A 12/14/22 A 12/6/23 A 12/11/24 A 12/10/25 A - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: TUI AG

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -24.2% 7.4% 8.59% 9.15% 9.4% 9.01% 9.9% 10.34%
EBIT Margin (%) -43.86% 2.47% 4.73% 5.59% 5.84% 5.38% 6.09% 6.5%
EBT Margin (%) -52.03% -0.88% 2.67% 3.72% 4.28% 3.79% 4.62% 5.06%
Net margin (%) -52.13% -1.68% 1.48% 2.19% 2.63% 2.17% 2.88% 3.38%
FCF margin (%) -9.53% 9.44% 4.7% 5.17% 1.89% -0.57% 2.52% 2.92%
FCF / Net Income (%) 18.28% -563.32% 317.35% 236.3% 72.02% -26.11% 87.3% 86.46%

Profitability

        
ROA -16.73% -1.89% 1.95% 3.02% 3.58% 2.89% 4.41% 5.01%
ROE - - 62.37% 48.78% 46.78% 29.91% 36.19% 34.71%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) -4.34x 2.88x 1.19x 0.77x 0.57x 0.73x 0.51x 0.33x
Debt / Free cash flow -11.01x 2.25x 2.17x 1.37x 2.85x -11.65x 2x 1.18x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.33% 1.86% 3.22% 3.08% 3.06% 3.75% 3.74% 3.67%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -26.17% 25.17% 37.53% 33.61% 32.52% 41.62% 37.73% 35.47%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -66.45% 19.73% 68.6% 59.46% 161.33% -660.99% 148.32% 125.63%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -1.585 12.71 4.029 3.698 3.688 2.367 3.428 3.936
Change - 901.87% -68.3% -8.22% -0.28% -35.81% 44.83% 14.82%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - 0.1 0.1402 0.2054 0.2687
Change - - - - - 40.25% 46.43% 30.83%
Book Value Per Share 1 -9.876 -0.8662 2.213 1.885 3.473 3.637 4.75 5.788
Change - 91.23% 355.47% -14.82% 84.27% 4.7% 30.6% 21.85%
EPS 1 -25.8 -1.7 0.75 0.99 1.17 0.977 1.351 1.589
Change - 93.41% 144.12% 32% 18.18% -16.5% 38.26% 17.64%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 109,908 178,481 507,431 507,431 507,431 507,431 507,431 507,431
Announcement Date 12/8/21 A 12/14/22 A 12/6/23 A 12/11/24 A 12/10/25 A - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 6.99x 5.05x
PBR 1.88x 1.44x
EV / Sales 0.21x 0.19x
Yield 2.05% 3.01%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
6.828EUR
Average target price
9.958EUR
Spread / Average Target
+45.84%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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