Projected Income Statement: TF1

Forecast Balance Sheet: TF1

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -135 -326 -505 -506 -515 -376 -379 -337
Change - -141.48% -54.91% -0.2% -1.78% 26.93% -0.8% 11.08%
Announcement Date 2/11/22 A 2/15/23 A 2/15/24 A 2/13/25 A 2/13/26 A - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: TF1

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 324.5 312.2 297.8 279.9 379.8 325 330 -
Change - -3.79% -4.61% -6.01% 35.69% -14.43% 1.54% -100%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 318 151.1 328.8 195.1 76.9 -21 - -
Change - -52.48% 117.6% -40.66% -60.58% -127.31% 100% -
Announcement Date 2/11/22 A 2/15/23 A 2/15/24 A 2/13/25 A 2/13/26 A - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: TF1

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 29.43% 30.39% 27.54% 29.71% 28.97% 25.52% 25.58% 25.94%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.14% 12.61% 12.31% 12.27% 10.53% 6.97% 6.62% 7.38%
EBT Margin (%) 13.3% 11.44% 11.13% 11.84% 10.27% 6.71% 6.18% 7.23%
Net margin (%) 9.28% 7.02% 8.36% 8.74% 6.65% 4.41% 4.74% 5.58%
FCF margin (%) 13.1% 6.03% 14.32% 8.28% 3.35% -0.96% - -
FCF / Net Income (%) 141.15% 85.8% 171.34% 94.71% 50.33% -21.8% - -

Profitability

        
ROA 6.59% 4.78% 5.87% 5.81% 4.17% 2.44% 2.83% 0.82%
ROE 13.84% 9.7% 11.24% 10.96% 7.75% 4.79% 4.86% 3.68%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 13.37% 12.45% 12.97% 11.88% 16.54% 14.89% 14.89% -
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 45.44% 40.97% 47.09% 39.99% 57.09% 58.36% 58.2% -
CAPEX / FCF (%) 102.04% 206.62% 90.57% 143.46% 493.89% -1,547.62% - -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.053 2.201 2.971 2.252 2.163 1.826 1.969 2.015
Change - -27.91% 35% -24.23% -3.94% -15.6% 7.85% 2.34%
Dividend per Share 1 0.45 0.5 0.55 0.6 0.63 0.6633 0.6744 0.7233
Change - 11.11% 10% 9.09% 5% 5.29% 1.67% 7.25%
Book Value Per Share 1 8.402 8.85 9.265 9.691 9.748 9.723 9.499 9.169
Change - 5.34% 4.68% 4.6% 0.59% -0.26% -2.31% -3.47%
EPS 1 1.07 0.83 0.91 0.97 0.72 0.4445 0.5103 0.6138
Change - -22.43% 9.64% 6.59% -25.77% -38.26% 14.79% 20.29%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 210,486 210,486 210,898 211,022 210,925 210,308 210,308 210,308
Announcement Date 2/11/22 A 2/15/23 A 2/15/24 A 2/13/25 A 2/13/26 A - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 15.8x 13.8x
PBR 0.72x 0.74x
EV / Sales 0.51x 0.5x
Yield 9.43% 9.59%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
7.035EUR
Average target price
7.967EUR
Spread / Average Target
+13.24%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise