Projected Income Statement: TCL Electronics Holdings Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: TCL Electronics Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -5,511 - - - -6,985 -13,137 -9,012 -17,950
Change - - - - - -88.06% 31.4% -99.18%
Announcement Date 3/11/22 A 3/10/23 A 3/28/24 A 3/21/25 A 3/27/26 A - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: TCL Electronics Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 688.7 959.1 575.5 893.4 949.6 909 880.6 859.8
Change - 39.25% -40% 55.25% 6.29% -4.28% -3.12% -2.37%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 - - - - 3,973 12,963 427 7,468
Change - - - - - 226.28% -96.71% 1,648.83%
Announcement Date 3/11/22 A 3/10/23 A 3/28/24 A 3/21/25 A 3/27/26 A - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: TCL Electronics Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 3.78% 3.75% 3.97% 4.37% 4.64% 3.77% 3.81% 3.74%
EBIT Margin (%) 2.28% 1.98% 2.46% 3.21% 3.44% 2.93% 3.31% 3.5%
EBT Margin (%) 1.93% 1.17% 1.45% 2.53% 2.88% 3.26% 3.39% 3.53%
Net margin (%) 1.58% 0.63% 0.94% 1.77% 2.18% 2.37% 2.43% 2.59%
FCF margin (%) - - - - 3.47% 10.05% 0.27% 4.3%
FCF / Net Income (%) - - - - 159.23% 423.72% 11.11% 166.17%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.12% 0.78% 1.53% 2.98% 2.97% 3.01% 3.34% 3.35%
ROE 6.74% 2.6% 4.48% 10.38% 13.71% 14.91% 16% 17.1%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.92% 1.34% 0.73% 0.9% 0.83% 0.7% 0.56% 0.49%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 24.32% 35.88% 18.34% 20.57% 17.87% 18.68% 14.61% 13.21%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - - - - 23.9% 7.01% 206.23% 11.51%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - 0.5456 0.647 1.042 1.938 2.42 1.875 3.305
Change - - 18.59% 61.11% 85.93% 24.86% -22.52% 76.27%
Dividend per Share 1 0.167 0.127 0.16 0.318 0.498 0.6067 0.8 0.9
Change - -23.95% 25.98% 98.75% 56.6% 21.82% 31.87% 12.5%
Book Value Per Share 1 7.241 6.579 6.742 6.818 7.956 8.4 9.64 10.8
Change - -9.14% 2.48% 1.12% 16.7% 5.58% 14.76% 12.07%
EPS 1 0.475 0.1787 0.3001 0.6972 0.9824 1.21 1.523 1.778
Change - -62.38% 67.94% 132.32% 40.91% 23.17% 25.86% 16.78%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,479,959 2,499,780 2,507,569 2,520,935 2,520,935 2,520,935 2,520,935 2,520,935
Announcement Date 3/11/22 A 3/10/23 A 3/28/24 A 3/21/25 A 3/27/26 A - - -
1HKD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 11.8x 9.36x
PBR 1.7x 1.48x
EV / Sales 0.18x 0.17x
Yield 4.26% 5.61%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
B
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
14.25HKD
Average target price
18.41HKD
Spread / Average Target
+29.19%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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