Projected Income Statement: Tractor Supply Company

Forecast Balance Sheet: Tractor Supply Company

Forecast Balance Sheet - Tractor Supply Company
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 145 999 1,367 1,612 1,607 1,833 1,774 1,735
Change - 588.97% 36.84% 17.92% -0.31% 14.06% -3.22% -2.2%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 A 1/26/23 A 2/1/24 A 1/30/25 A 1/29/26 A - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Tractor Supply Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 628.4 773.4 753.9 784 894.8 813.5 725.1 721.7
Change - 23.06% -2.52% 4% 14.12% -9.09% -10.86% -0.46%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 510.3 583.6 580.2 636.8 1,310 617.7 901.1 1,005
Change - 14.37% -0.59% 9.76% 105.79% -52.86% 45.89% 11.55%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 A 1/26/23 A 2/1/24 A 1/30/25 A 1/29/26 A - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Tractor Supply Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 12.39% 12.52% 12.86% 12.86% 12.63% 11.85% 11.96% 11.91%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.26% 10.1% 10.16% 9.86% 9.45% 8.48% 8.58% 8.8%
EBT Margin (%) 10.05% 9.89% 9.84% 9.49% 9.01% 7.9% 8.06% 8.34%
Net margin (%) 7.83% 7.66% 7.61% 7.4% 7.06% 6.21% 6.31% 6.52%
FCF margin (%) 4.01% 4.11% 3.99% 4.28% 8.44% 3.85% 5.4% 5.73%
FCF / Net Income (%) 51.18% 53.61% 52.4% 57.82% 119.55% 61.9% 85.58% 87.83%

Profitability

        
ROA 13.46% 13.39% 12.55% 11.6% 11.18% 8.85% 9.18% 9.4%
ROE 50.79% 53.83% 52.82% 49.83% 45.18% 38.1% 37.33% 36.51%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.09x 0.56x 0.73x 0.84x 0.82x 0.96x 0.89x 0.83x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.28x 1.71x 2.36x 2.53x 1.23x 2.97x 1.97x 1.73x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.94% 5.44% 5.18% 5.27% 5.76% 5.06% 4.35% 4.11%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 39.85% 43.5% 40.27% 40.95% 45.62% 42.73% 36.33% 34.53%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 123.15% 132.51% 129.95% 123.13% 68.28% 131.7% 80.46% 71.8%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.966 2.42 2.431 2.633 3.084 2.842 3.059 3.29
Change - 23.09% 0.46% 8.3% 17.13% -7.84% 7.65% 7.54%
Dividend per Share 1 0.416 0.736 0.824 0.88 0.92 0.9627 1.022 1.104
Change - 76.92% 11.96% 6.8% 4.55% 4.64% 6.18% 8.05%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.442 3.642 3.918 4.207 4.868 5.116 5.906 6.272
Change - 5.81% 7.56% 7.38% 15.71% 5.1% 15.43% 6.21%
EPS 1 1.722 1.942 2.018 2.04 2.06 1.896 2.054 2.268
Change - 12.78% 3.91% 1.09% 0.98% -7.95% 8.32% 10.42%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 569,075 552,316 540,571 534,195 528,404 521,040 521,040 521,040
Announcement Date 1/27/22 A 1/26/23 A 2/1/24 A 1/30/25 A 1/29/26 A - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 16.7x 15.4x
PBR 6.18x 5.35x
EV / Sales 1.14x 1.09x
Yield 3.04% 3.23%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Tractor Supply Company


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Tractor Supply Company
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Tractor Supply Company
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
MarketScreener Ratings - Tractor Supply Company
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
30
Last Close Price
31.62USD
Average target price
37.41USD
Spread / Average Target
+18.30%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Tractor Supply Company
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