Projected Income Statement: Saga plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Saga plc

Forecast Balance Sheet - Saga plc
Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 729 712 637 591 500 387 306 211
Change - -2.33% -10.53% -7.22% -15.4% -22.52% -20.93% -31.05%
Announcement Date 3/23/22 A 4/4/23 A 4/17/24 A 4/9/25 A 4/15/26 A - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Saga plc

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 12.5 20.8 26.7 20.1 16.1 20.4 23.6 24.15
Change - 66.4% 28.37% -24.72% -19.9% 26.71% 15.69% 2.33%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 34 -34.7 57 93.1 100.9 82.26 87.59 109.3
Change - -202.06% 264.27% 63.33% 8.38% -18.47% 6.48% 24.75%
Announcement Date 3/23/22 A 4/4/23 A 4/17/24 A 4/9/25 A 4/15/26 A - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Saga plc

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 17.29% 16.62% 15.72% 17.85% 21.41% 22.8% 22.89% 23.01%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.15% 7.47% 10.52% 9.7% 16.87% 17.47% 17.97% 18.25%
EBT Margin (%) -6.23% -43.74% -17.41% -18.37% 0.63% 8.13% 11.3% 12.64%
Net margin (%) -7.42% -44.61% -15.25% -21.47% 0.5% 8.38% 11.21% 12.49%
FCF margin (%) 9.01% -5.97% 7.69% 12.12% 14.11% 11.87% 11.83% 13.95%
FCF / Net Income (%) -121.43% 13.39% -50.44% -56.46% 2,802.78% 141.64% 105.59% 111.67%

Profitability

        
ROA - - - -9.5% 0.25% 4.47% 6.64% 7.49%
ROE -2.32% -50.7% 14.24% -117.28% 5.65% 57.34% 49.48% 37.09%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 11.18x 7.37x 5.47x 4.31x 3.26x 2.45x 1.81x 1.17x
Debt / Free cash flow 21.44x -20.51x 11.18x 6.34x 4.95x 4.71x 3.5x 1.93x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.31% 3.58% 3.6% 2.62% 2.25% 2.94% 3.19% 3.08%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 19.17% 21.53% 22.92% 14.66% 10.52% 12.91% 13.93% 13.4%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 36.76% -59.94% 46.84% 21.59% 15.96% 24.8% 26.94% 22.1%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.00609 0.1656 0.7639 0.991 1.078 0.5047 0.807 0.9024
Change - 2,619.21% 361.29% 29.73% 8.77% -53.18% 59.91% 11.82%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - 0.1 0.1333
Change - - - - - - - 33.33%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.652 2.633 1.599 0.411 0.4895 0.913 1.496 2.196
Change - -43.41% -39.27% -74.3% 19.1% 86.52% 63.8% 46.83%
EPS 1 -0.201 -1.858 -0.808 -1.174 0.024 0.4007 0.5728 0.6746
Change - -824.38% 56.51% -45.3% 102.04% 1,569.58% 42.94% 17.78%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 140,329 140,329 141,789 142,562 143,955 145,690 145,690 145,690
Announcement Date 3/23/22 A 4/4/23 A 4/17/24 A 4/9/25 A 4/15/26 A - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 21.2x 14.8x
PBR 9.31x 5.68x
EV / Sales 2.34x 2.09x
Yield - 1.18%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Saga plc


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Saga plc
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Saga plc
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
MarketScreener Ratings - Saga plc
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
4
Last Close Price
8.500GBP
Average target price
9.792GBP
Spread / Average Target
+15.21%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - EPS - Annual - Saga plc