Projected Income Statement: Glencore plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Glencore plc

Forecast Balance Sheet - Glencore plc
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 31,400 26,854 30,316 36,405 39,405 39,300 34,068 29,735
Change - -14.48% 12.89% 20.09% 8.24% -0.27% -13.31% -12.72%
Announcement Date 2/15/22 A 2/15/23 A 2/21/24 A 2/19/25 A 2/18/26 A - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,618 4,177 4,484 5,611 5,932 7,113 6,929 7,017
Change - 15.45% 7.35% 25.13% 5.72% 19.92% -2.59% 1.27%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,242 9,482 6,552 4,444 -290 7,328 8,238 7,410
Change - 80.89% -30.9% -32.17% -106.53% 2,626.9% 12.42% -10.05%
Announcement Date 2/15/22 A 2/15/23 A 2/21/24 A 2/19/25 A 2/18/26 A - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.47% 13.31% 7.85% 6.22% 5.45% 6.29% 7.35% 7.41%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.11% 10.41% 4.77% 3% 2.42% 4.13% 4.85% 4.69%
EBT Margin (%) 3.62% 8.94% 2.49% -0.43% 0.13% 3.03% 3.73% 3.73%
Net margin (%) 2.44% 6.77% 1.96% -0.71% 0.16% 2.32% 2.77% 2.73%
FCF margin (%) 2.57% 3.7% 3.01% 1.92% -0.12% 2.21% 2.81% 2.58%
FCF / Net Income (%) 105.39% 54.75% 153.08% -271.97% -72.5% 95.19% 101.45% 94.47%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.43% 14.52% 5.22% 2.9% 0.27% 6.17% 6.51% 6.45%
ROE 23.53% 42.27% 14.41% 8.76% 5.78% 18.69% 17.91% 16.58%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.47x 0.79x 1.77x 2.54x 2.92x 1.88x 1.58x 1.4x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.99x 2.83x 4.63x 8.19x -135.88x 5.36x 4.14x 4.01x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.78% 1.63% 2.06% 2.43% 2.4% 2.15% 2.36% 2.45%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 16.97% 12.26% 26.22% 39.08% 43.94% 34.11% 32.16% 33.03%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 69.02% 44.05% 68.44% 126.26% -2,045.52% 97.07% 84.11% 94.69%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.6643 1.039 0.88 0.8193 0.4678 0.8914 1.314 1.135
Change - 56.46% -15.34% -6.9% -42.9% 90.56% 47.37% -13.61%
Dividend per Share 1 0.26 0.44 0.13 0.1 0.1 0.233 0.247 0.2549
Change - 69.23% -70.45% -23.08% 0% 133.01% 5.99% 3.2%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.796 3.522 3.566 3.696 3.257 3.517 3.769 4.121
Change - 25.96% 1.27% 3.63% -11.86% 7.98% 7.15% 9.35%
EPS 1 0.38 1.33 0.34 -0.13 0.03 0.645 0.6732 0.6636
Change - 250% -74.44% -138.24% 123.08% 2,050% 4.37% -1.42%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 13,094,998 12,762,238 12,169,709 12,157,132 11,713,994 11,736,770 11,736,770 11,736,770
Announcement Date 2/15/22 A 2/15/23 A 2/21/24 A 2/19/25 A 2/18/26 A - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 12.1x 11.6x
PBR 2.21x 2.06x
EV / Sales 0.39x 0.43x
Yield 3% 3.17%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Glencore plc


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Glencore plc
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Glencore plc
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
MarketScreener Ratings - Glencore plc
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
7.779USD
Average target price
8.978USD
Spread / Average Target
+15.41%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Glencore plc
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