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| 07-17 | Ford to recall about 288,000 US vehicles over loose roof rails | RE |
| 07-15 | Ford Motor Chairman Says US Must Prepare for Competition With Chinese Automakers | MT |
Company Valuation: Ford Motor
Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap 1 | 83,002 | 46,758 | 48,796 | 39,345 | 52,277 | 56,543 | - | - |
| Change | - | -43.67% | 4.36% | -19.37% | 32.87% | 8.16% | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 66,920 | 34,504 | 28,569 | 31,629 | 45,763 | 50,063 | 49,288 | 48,943 |
| Change | - | -48.44% | -17.2% | 10.71% | 44.68% | 9.4% | -1.55% | -0.7% |
| P/E | 4.67x | -23.7x | 11.3x | 6.78x | -6.37x | 12.3x | 8.44x | 7.24x |
| PBR | 1.73x | 1.08x | 1.14x | 0.86x | 1.45x | 1.44x | 1.28x | 1.17x |
| PEG | - | 0x | -0x | 0.2x | 0x | -0x | 0.2x | 0.4x |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 0.66x | 0.31x | 0.29x | 0.23x | 0.3x | 0.32x | 0.32x | 0.31x |
| EV / Revenue | 0.53x | 0.23x | 0.17x | 0.18x | 0.26x | 0.29x | 0.28x | 0.27x |
| EV / EBITDA | 5.13x | 2.29x | 1.81x | 2.07x | 3.81x | 3.72x | 3.26x | 3.02x |
| EV / EBIT | 9.05x | 3.56x | 2.74x | 3.1x | 6.75x | 5.36x | 4.84x | 4.28x |
| EV / FCF | 7x | 3.8x | 4.2x | 4.69x | -133x | 10.3x | 7.63x | 6.32x |
| FCF Yield | 14.3% | 26.3% | 23.8% | 21.3% | -0.75% | 9.72% | 13.1% | 15.8% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6029 | 0.6116 | 0.6122 |
| Rate of return | 0.48% | 4.3% | 4.92% | 6.06% | 4.57% | 4.25% | 4.31% | 4.31% |
| EPS 2 | 4.45 | -0.49 | 1.08 | 1.46 | -2.06 | 1.151 | 1.681 | 1.959 |
| Distribution rate | 2.25% | -102% | 55.6% | 41.1% | -29.1% | 52.4% | 36.4% | 31.3% |
| Net sales 1 | 126,150 | 148,980 | 165,901 | 172,706 | 173,996 | 175,197 | 178,071 | 183,308 |
| EBITDA 1 | 13,049 | 15,053 | 15,752 | 15,246 | 12,025 | 13,466 | 15,134 | 16,205 |
| EBIT 1 | 7,397 | 9,692 | 10,416 | 10,208 | 6,780 | 9,339 | 10,187 | 11,428 |
| Net income 1 | 17,937 | -1,981 | 4,347 | 5,879 | -8,182 | 4,799 | 7,204 | 8,665 |
| Net Debt 1 | -16,082 | -12,254 | -20,227 | -7,716 | -6,514 | -6,480 | -7,254 | -7,600 |
| Reference price 2 | 20.77 | 11.63 | 12.19 | 9.90 | 13.12 | 14.19 | 14.19 | 14.19 |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 3,996,242 | 4,020,494 | 4,002,954 | 3,974,289 | 3,984,499 | 3,984,693 | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 2/3/22 A | 2/2/23 A | 2/6/24 A | 2/5/25 A | 2/10/26 A | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
P/E, Detailed evolution
| P/E (Y) | EV / Sales (Y) | EV / EBITDA (Y) | Dividend Yield (Y) | Capi.($) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.76x | 1.25x | 11.52x | 3.5% | 212B | ||
| 6.42x | 0.33x | 2.65x | 0.96% | 70.08B | ||
| 9.62x | 1.26x | 13.74x | 2.63% | 66.05B | ||
| 7.99x | 0.11x | 1x | 7.22% | 48.5B | ||
| 25.66x | 1.36x | 7.61x | 2.3% | 46.83B | ||
| 3.86x | -0x | -0.01x | 7.52% | 42.89B | ||
| 7.82x | -0.07x | -0.63x | 4.99% | 40.51B | ||
| 13.98x | 0.61x | 7.27x | 4.49% | 37.34B | ||
| 22x | 1.92x | 13.89x | 1.14% | 36.16B | ||
| Average | 11.90x | 0.75x | 6.34x | 3.86% | 66.71B | |
| Weighted average by Cap. | 10.90x | 0.88x | 7.81x | 3.62% |
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Historical PBR trend
Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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- Valuation Ford Motor
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