Company Valuation: BAE Systems plc

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Market Cap 1 17,381 26,285 33,599 34,267 51,026 54,470 - -
Change - 51.22% 27.83% 1.99% 48.91% 6.75% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 19,541 28,308 36,063 41,142 56,639 59,253 58,639 57,731
Change - 44.86% 27.4% 14.08% 37.67% 4.62% -1.04% -1.55%
P/E 10.1x 17x 18.4x 17.9x 25.2x 24.6x 21.2x 18.8x
PBR 2.36x 2.35x 3.21x 2.98x 4.36x 4.59x 4.26x 3.92x
PEG - -2.21x 0.9x 2.92x 4.14x 1.6x 1.3x 1.5x
Capitalization / Revenue 0.82x 1.13x 1.33x 1.21x 1.66x 1.64x 1.5x 1.39x
EV / Revenue 0.92x 1.22x 1.43x 1.45x 1.85x 1.79x 1.62x 1.47x
EV / EBITDA 6.68x 8.72x 10.4x 10x 12.6x 12.5x 11.3x 10.2x
EV / EBIT 8.86x 11.4x 13.4x 13.6x 17x 16.1x 14.3x 12.9x
EV / FCF 10.5x 13.2x 13.9x 16.4x 26.2x 25.9x 22.5x 19.6x
FCF Yield 9.54% 7.58% 7.19% 6.09% 3.81% 3.86% 4.44% 5.1%
Dividend per Share 2 0.251 0.27 0.3 0.33 0.363 0.3967 0.4469 0.5014
Rate of return 4.57% 3.15% 2.7% 2.87% 2.12% 2.06% 2.32% 2.61%
EPS 2 0.547 0.505 0.604 0.641 0.68 0.7817 0.907 1.022
Distribution rate 45.9% 53.5% 49.7% 51.5% 53.4% 50.7% 49.3% 49.1%
Net sales 1 21,310 23,256 25,284 28,335 30,662 33,180 36,216 39,155
EBITDA 1 2,925 3,246 3,469 4,112 4,495 4,750 5,195 5,644
EBIT 1 2,205 2,479 2,682 3,015 3,322 3,679 4,090 4,493
Net income 1 1,758 1,591 1,857 1,956 2,062 2,354 2,668 2,976
Net Debt 1 2,160 2,023 2,464 6,875 5,613 4,783 4,168 3,260
Reference price 2 5.50 8.56 11.10 11.48 17.14 19.24 19.24 19.24
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,161,416 3,070,678 3,025,615 2,983,629 2,977,003 2,831,835 - -
Announcement Date 2/24/22 A 2/23/23 A 2/21/24 A 2/19/25 A 2/18/26 A - - -
1GBP in Million2GBP
Estimates

P/E, Detailed evolution



P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
24.61x1.79x12.48x2.06% 73.69B
37.98x6.85x28.55x0.56% 336B
32.86x3.06x18.15x1.44% 267B
33.49x4.92x20.71x1.01% 161B
17.4x1.69x12.11x2.64% 122B
20.85x1.77x14.46x1.78% 95.7B
17.88x1.87x13.31x1.87% 73.72B
29.71x3.26x14.33x1.38% 55.16B
20.79x2.29x12.65x2% 46.25B
Average 26.18x 3.05x 16.31x 1.64% 136.75B
Weighted average by Cap. 29.89x 3.93x 19.43x 1.37%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA



Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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