Projected Income Statement: Aramex

Forecast Balance Sheet: Aramex

Forecast Balance Sheet - Aramex
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 541 1,436 1,500 1,361 1,375 1,351 1,214 897
Change - 165.43% 4.46% -9.27% 1.03% -1.77% -10.14% -26.11%
Announcement Date 2/10/22 A 2/9/23 A 2/8/24 A 2/11/25 A 2/10/26 A - - -
1AED in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Aramex

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 128.6 79.14 128 124.3 145.3 237.5 197 144
Change - -38.46% 61.75% -2.88% 16.86% 63.47% -17.05% -26.9%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 188.8 487.3 380.1 490.6 401.8 173.3 274 411
Change - 158.18% -22% 29.07% -18.11% -56.87% 58.11% 50%
Announcement Date 2/10/22 A 2/9/23 A 2/8/24 A 2/11/25 A 2/10/26 A - - -
1AED in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Aramex

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 11.15% 10.39% 11.06% 10.28% 9.65% 10.04% 9.05% 10.53%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.05% 4.14% 4.68% 4.69% 3.74% 4.28% 4.34% 5.03%
EBT Margin (%) 4.32% 3.15% 2.68% 2.89% 0.88% 2.38% - -
Net margin (%) 3.71% 2.79% 2.27% 2.24% 0.32% 1.85% 0.12% 0.66%
FCF margin (%) 3.11% 8.22% 6.68% 7.76% 6.32% 2.43% 4.05% 5.9%
FCF / Net Income (%) 83.75% 294.66% 293.98% 345.96% 1,952.02% 130.79% 3,261.9% 897.38%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.92% 2.88% 2.17% 2.45% 0.35% - - -
ROE 8.42% 6.39% 5.2% 5.7% 0.81% 5.73% 1.16% 1.67%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.8x 2.33x 2.38x 2.09x 2.24x 1.88x 1.98x 1.22x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.87x 2.95x 3.95x 2.77x 3.42x 7.8x 4.43x 2.18x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.12% 1.34% 2.25% 1.97% 2.28% 3.32% 2.91% 2.07%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 19.01% 12.85% 20.33% 19.12% 23.66% 33.11% 32.14% 19.63%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 68.13% 16.24% 33.68% 25.34% 36.16% 137.05% 71.9% 35.04%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Dividend per Share 1 0.13 0.13 - - - - - -
Change - 0% - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 1.82 1.714 1.681 1.719 1.747 1.823 - -
Change - -5.84% -1.91% 2.23% 1.62% 4.37% - -
EPS 1 0.15 0.113 0.088 0.097 0.014 0.099 0.06 0.085
Change - -24.67% -22.12% 10.23% -85.57% 607.14% -39.39% 41.67%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,464,100 1,464,100 1,464,100 1,464,100 1,464,100 1,464,100 1,464,100 1,464,100
Announcement Date 2/10/22 A 2/9/23 A 2/8/24 A 2/11/25 A 2/10/26 A - - -
1AED
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 17.1x 28.2x
PBR 0.93x -
EV / Sales 0.54x 0.54x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Aramex


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Aramex
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Aramex
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
MarketScreener Ratings - Aramex
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
4
Last Close Price
1.690AED
Average target price
2.117AED
Spread / Average Target
+25.25%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Aramex