Projected Income Statement: UCB

Forecast Balance Sheet: UCB

Forecast Balance Sheet - UCB
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 860 2,000 2,177 1,454 -7 413 -1,695 -4,196
Change - 132.56% 8.85% -33.21% -100.48% 6,000% -510.41% -147.55%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 A 2/22/23 A 2/28/24 A 2/27/25 A 2/24/26 A - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: UCB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 282 252 316 322 449 1,119 576.7 653.6
Change - -10.64% 25.4% 1.9% 39.44% 149.12% -48.44% 13.34%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,271 867 445 920 1,842 1,909 2,611 3,080
Change - -31.79% -48.67% 106.74% 100.22% 3.66% 36.73% 17.99%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 A 2/22/23 A 2/28/24 A 2/27/25 A 2/24/26 A - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: UCB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 28.41% 22.84% 25.69% 23.99% 34.05% 35.26% 37.7% 39.69%
EBIT Margin (%) 22.81% 12.23% 12.51% 13.59% 25.95% 28.44% 31.01% 33.98%
EBT Margin (%) 21.22% 9.26% 8.4% 18.9% 23.54% 26.84% 28.56% 30.98%
Net margin (%) 18.31% 7.58% 6.53% 17.31% 20.13% 22.27% 23.91% 25.82%
FCF margin (%) 22% 15.72% 8.47% 14.95% 23.8% 22.05% 27.18% 28.84%
FCF / Net Income (%) 120.13% 207.42% 129.74% 86.38% 118.23% 99.03% 113.66% 111.67%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.91% 5.51% 5.07% 6.48% 8.78% 10.47% 10.91% 11.09%
ROE 15.66% 9.5% 8.83% 11.21% 14.91% 18.09% 19.43% 18.85%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.52x 1.59x 1.61x 0.99x - 0.14x - -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.68x 2.31x 4.89x 1.58x - 0.22x - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.88% 4.57% 6.02% 5.23% 5.8% 12.92% 6% 6.12%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 17.18% 20% 23.42% 21.82% 17.03% 36.64% 15.92% 15.42%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 22.19% 29.07% 71.01% 35% 24.38% 58.58% 22.09% 21.22%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 8 5.743 3.899 6.537 12.06 12.29 14.91 16
Change - -28.21% -32.12% 67.66% 84.46% 1.93% 21.35% 7.26%
Dividend per Share 1 1.3 1.33 1.36 1.39 1.45 1.457 1.502 1.534
Change - 2.31% 2.26% 2.21% 4.32% 0.45% 3.11% 2.12%
Book Value Per Share 1 43.2 46.6 47.31 52.78 57.09 63.2 72.22 87.11
Change - 7.88% 1.53% 11.56% 8.15% 10.71% 14.26% 20.62%
EPS 1 5.6 2.2 1.76 5.61 8.2 9.998 12.01 14.48
Change - -60.71% -20% 218.75% 46.17% 21.93% 20.16% 20.55%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 188,812 189,959 189,721 189,720 189,996 190,663 190,663 190,663
Announcement Date 2/24/22 A 2/22/23 A 2/28/24 A 2/27/25 A 2/24/26 A - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 20.2x 16.8x
PBR 3.19x 2.79x
EV / Sales 4.49x 3.83x
Yield 0.72% 0.74%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - UCB


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - UCB
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - UCB
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Ratings Surperformance© - UCB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
201.80EUR
Average target price
285.00EUR
Spread / Average Target
+41.23%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - UCB