Company Valuation: Thai Oil

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Market Cap 1 100,981 125,653 120,069 63,106 80,418 147,992 - -
Change - 24.43% -4.44% -47.44% 27.43% 84.03% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 269,433 257,808 269,900 197,723 145,510 223,070 238,620 231,840
Change - -4.31% 4.69% -26.74% -26.41% 53.3% 6.97% -2.84%
P/E 8.02x 3.6x 6.18x 6.33x 5.51x 4.29x 9.93x 8.88x
PBR 0.84x 0.83x 0.73x 0.39x 0.47x 0.71x 0.69x 0.65x
PEG - 0x -0.1x -0.1x 0.1x 0x -0.2x 0.8x
Capitalization / Revenue 0.29x 0.24x 0.26x 0.14x 0.2x 0.3x 0.35x 0.3x
EV / Revenue 0.78x 0.49x 0.58x 0.42x 0.37x 0.46x 0.56x 0.47x
EV / EBITDA 8.89x 4.96x 7.22x 9.42x 8.23x 4.36x 7.46x 6.17x
EV / EBIT 11.8x 5.82x 9.13x 15.3x 15.1x 4.53x 10.9x 9.28x
EV / FCF -10.9x 22.8x 19.9x 6.5x 3.79x 34.3x 81.8x 11.2x
FCF Yield -9.15% 4.39% 5.03% 15.4% 26.4% 2.92% 1.22% 8.93%
Dividend per Share 2 2.6 4 3.4 1.9 1.8 4.396 2.59 3.398
Rate of return 5.25% 7.11% 6.33% 6.73% 5% 6.63% 3.91% 5.13%
EPS 2 6.17 15.63 8.7 4.46 6.53 15.44 6.674 7.459
Distribution rate 42.1% 25.6% 39.1% 42.6% 27.6% 28.5% 38.8% 45.6%
Net sales 1 345,496 529,589 469,244 466,777 395,682 486,620 428,736 489,530
EBITDA 1 30,309 52,014 37,359 20,999 17,686 51,134 31,972 37,555
EBIT 1 22,885 44,270 29,560 12,893 9,621 49,238 21,943 24,991
Net income 1 12,578 32,668 19,443 9,959 11,852 33,829 15,381 17,111
Net Debt 1 168,451 132,155 149,832 134,617 65,092 75,078 90,629 83,848
Reference price 2 49.50 56.25 53.75 28.25 36.00 66.25 66.25 66.25
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,040,028 2,233,836 2,233,836 2,233,836 2,233,836 2,233,836 - -
Announcement Date 2/15/22 A 2/10/23 A 2/14/24 A 2/14/25 A 2/12/26 A - - -
1THB in Million2THB
Estimates

P/E, Detailed evolution

P/E (N) EV / Sales (N) EV / EBITDA (N) Dividend Yield (N) Capi.($)
14.01x1.69x7.29x2.59% 658B
20.34x1.68x9.8x0.45% 185B
7.23x0.58x2.67x4.81% 109B
7.54x0.75x5.12x1.15% 99.81B
8.36x0.68x5.22x1.42% 98.38B
9.19x0.65x6.69x2.17% 93.22B
10.19x0.31x4.79x6.66% 84.74B
12.87x1.52x8.24x1.85% 64.52B
6.24x0.46x3.21x4.11% 33.83B
Average 10.66x 0.92x 5.89x 2.8% 158.63B
Weighted average by Cap. 12.69x 1.28x 6.72x 2.52%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield