Projected Income Statement: SAP SE

Forecast Balance Sheet: SAP SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 3,914 4,509 -1,792 -1,695 -3,381 -1,994 -6,443 -14,354
Change - 15.2% -139.74% 5.41% -99.47% 41.02% -223.12% -122.78%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 A 1/26/23 A 1/23/24 A 1/28/25 A 1/29/26 A - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: SAP SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 825 874 785 797 739 897.8 920.8 985
Change - 5.94% -10.18% 1.53% -7.28% 21.49% 2.56% 6.97%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,010 4,348 5,530 4,113 8,239 10,073 11,592 13,340
Change - -13.21% 27.18% -25.62% 100.32% 22.27% 15.08% 15.08%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 A 1/26/23 A 1/23/24 A 1/28/25 A 1/29/26 A - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: SAP SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 35.93% 32.16% 32.35% 27.6% 31.88% 31.95% 32.93% 34.18%
EBIT Margin (%) 29.56% 26.02% 27.95% 23.86% 28.31% 29.79% 30.76% 31.78%
EBT Margin (%) 24.6% 10.02% 16.96% 13.94% 28.48% 28.36% 29.76% 32.07%
Net margin (%) 19.33% 5.55% 11.42% 9.14% 20.36% 19.95% 20.83% 22.27%
FCF margin (%) 17.99% 14.08% 17.72% 12.03% 22.39% 25.08% 25.87% 26.59%
FCF / Net Income (%) 93.07% 253.68% 155.16% 131.66% 109.97% 125.69% 124.21% 119.4%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.87% 6.35% 8.32% 7.42% 9.91% 11.55% 12.72% 13.39%
ROE 24.3% 11.52% 14.03% 11.93% 15.89% 18.73% 21.06% 22.11%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.39x 0.45x - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.78x 1.04x - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.96% 2.83% 2.52% 2.33% 2.01% 2.24% 2.05% 1.96%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.25% 8.8% 7.78% 8.45% 6.3% 7% 6.24% 5.74%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 16.47% 20.1% 14.2% 19.38% 8.97% 8.91% 7.94% 7.38%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.261 4.805 5.352 4.477 7.792 9.386 10.85 12.99
Change - -8.67% 11.38% -16.35% 74.06% 20.46% 15.62% 19.7%
Dividend per Share 1 1.95 2.05 2.2 2.35 - 2.694 3.052 3.451
Change - 5.13% 7.32% 6.82% - - 13.3% 13.08%
Book Value Per Share 1 33.02 34.3 36.95 38.97 38.38 38.75 41.88 48.43
Change - 3.9% 7.7% 5.48% -1.51% 0.97% 8.06% 15.65%
EPS 1 4.46 1.96 3.05 2.65 6.28 7.247 8.528 10.12
Change - -56.05% 55.61% -13.11% 136.98% 15.4% 17.67% 18.68%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,179,579 1,164,814 1,164,184 1,163,363 1,164,600 1,167,559 1,167,559 1,167,559
Announcement Date 1/27/22 A 1/26/23 A 1/23/24 A 1/28/25 A 1/29/26 A - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 18.3x 15.5x
PBR 3.41x 3.16x
EV / Sales 3.8x 3.3x
Yield 2.04% 2.31%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
27
Last Close Price
132.28EUR
Average target price
214.04EUR
Spread / Average Target
+61.81%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise