Projected Income Statement: Sabina

Forecast Balance Sheet: Sabina

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 335 254 347 202 -102 -246 -130 -
Change - -24.18% 36.61% -41.79% -150.5% -141.95% 47.15% -
Announcement Date 2/21/22 A 2/20/23 A 2/22/24 A 2/25/25 A 2/19/26 A - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Sabina

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 15.14 34.48 49.52 43.12 61.24 40 30
Change - 127.76% 43.61% -12.92% 42.02% -34.68% -25%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 496.1 647.7 359.4 579.8 825.5 276 447
Change - 30.56% -44.51% 61.31% 42.38% -66.57% 61.96%
Announcement Date 2/21/22 A 2/20/23 A 2/22/24 A 2/25/25 A 2/19/26 A - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Sabina

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 15.71% 17.66% 19.45% 18.77% 17.32% 17.53% 17.69% 18.73%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.18% 16.42% 17.09% 16.59% 15.02% 15.94% 15.36% -
EBT Margin (%) 13.99% 16.28% 16.84% 16.3% 15.3% 15.79% 15.91% -
Net margin (%) 11.18% 13.17% 13.48% 13.02% 12.35% 12.58% 12.65% 13.36%
FCF margin (%) 18.85% 20.45% 10.48% 16.26% 24.82% 8.21% 12.74% -
FCF / Net Income (%) 168.63% 155.25% 77.71% 124.86% 200.98% 65.25% 100.68% -

Profitability

        
ROA 10.7% 15.33% 16.46% 16.79% 16.27% 17.6% 18.75% -
ROE 16.2% 22.57% 24.77% 25.08% 22.39% 22.9% 24.15% 25.2%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.81x 0.45x 0.52x 0.3x - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.68x 0.39x 0.97x 0.35x - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.58% 1.09% 1.44% 1.21% 1.84% 1.19% 0.85% -
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 3.66% 6.17% 7.42% 6.44% 10.63% 6.79% 4.83% -
CAPEX / FCF (%) 3.05% 5.32% 13.78% 7.44% 7.42% 14.49% 6.71% -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.66 1.963 1.177 1.793 2.552 1.3 1.4 -
Change - 18.27% -40.06% 52.32% 42.36% -49.06% 7.69% -
Dividend per Share 1 0.85 1.2 1.33 1.34 1.18 1.21 1.295 1.36
Change - 41.18% 10.83% 0.75% -11.94% 2.54% 7.02% 5.02%
Book Value Per Share 1 5.3 5.375 5.373 5.283 5.274 5.31 5.34 -
Change - 1.41% -0.03% -1.67% -0.18% 0.69% 0.56% -
EPS 1 0.85 1.2 1.33 1.34 1.18 1.21 1.295 1.37
Change - 41.18% 10.83% 0.75% -11.94% 2.54% 7.02% 5.79%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 347,500 347,500 347,500 347,500 347,500 347,500 347,500 347,500
Announcement Date 2/21/22 A 2/20/23 A 2/22/24 A 2/25/25 A 2/19/26 A - - -
1THB
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 12.7x 11.9x
PBR 2.9x 2.88x
EV / Sales 1.52x 1.49x
Yield 7.86% 8.41%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
UNDERPERFORM
Number of Analysts
3
Last Close Price
15.40THB
Average target price
16.73THB
Spread / Average Target
+8.66%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise