Projected Income Statement: Outotec

Forecast Balance Sheet: Outotec

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 470 684 884 1,173 1,092 986 694 428
Change - 45.53% 29.24% 32.69% -6.91% -9.71% -29.61% -38.33%
Announcement Date 2/10/22 A 2/17/23 A 2/16/24 A 2/13/25 A 2/12/26 A - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Outotec

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 91 114 170 188 152 161.5 169.3 176.5
Change - 25.27% 49.12% 10.59% -19.15% 6.24% 4.82% 4.27%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 417 13 132 144 627 493.5 700.5 745.2
Change - -96.88% 915.38% 9.09% 335.42% -21.29% 41.95% 6.38%
Announcement Date 2/10/22 A 2/17/23 A 2/16/24 A 2/13/25 A 2/12/26 A - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Outotec

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 15.16% 15.51% 18.2% 18.57% 17.84% 18.57% 19.58% 20.23%
EBIT Margin (%) 12.91% 13.81% 16.46% 16.53% 15.82% 16.33% 17.25% 17.83%
EBT Margin (%) 9.09% 8.33% 13.43% 13.33% 12.14% 13.36% 14.97% 15.79%
Net margin (%) 8.07% 5.68% 10.07% 6.77% 8.07% 10.37% 11.45% 12.18%
FCF margin (%) 9.84% 0.25% 2.45% 2.96% 11.97% 8.75% 11.39% 11.28%
FCF / Net Income (%) 121.93% 4.32% 24.31% 43.77% 148.23% 84.36% 99.49% 92.61%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.83% 6.69% 7.81% 4.64% 5.95% 7.57% 8.38% 8.92%
ROE 15.49% 18.34% 21.94% 18.94% 16.07% 21.44% 23.37% 23.88%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.73x 0.83x 0.9x 1.3x 1.17x 0.94x 0.58x 0.32x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.13x 52.62x 6.7x 8.15x 1.74x 2x 0.99x 0.57x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.15% 2.15% 3.15% 3.87% 2.9% 2.86% 2.75% 2.67%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 14.17% 13.89% 17.33% 20.82% 16.26% 15.42% 14.05% 13.21%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 21.82% 876.92% 128.79% 130.56% 24.24% 32.72% 24.16% 23.69%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.6135 0.1535 0.3655 0.4014 0.9412 0.9027 1.032 1.133
Change - -74.98% 138.13% 9.82% 134.48% -4.09% 14.3% 9.84%
Dividend per Share 1 0.24 0.3 0.36 0.38 0.4 0.4243 0.4859 0.5375
Change - 25% 20% 5.56% 5.26% 6.07% 14.53% 10.6%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.717 2.84 3.16 3.14 3.22 3.491 3.904 4.392
Change - 4.52% 11.27% -0.63% 2.55% 8.4% 11.84% 12.52%
EPS 1 0.41 0.36 0.66 0.4 0.51 0.7066 0.8499 0.972
Change - -12.2% 83.33% -39.39% 27.5% 38.56% 20.28% 14.36%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 828,047 825,636 826,328 827,810 827,761 828,113 828,113 828,113
Announcement Date 2/10/22 A 2/17/23 A 2/16/24 A 2/13/25 A 2/12/26 A - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 24.8x 20.6x
PBR 5.02x 4.49x
EV / Sales 2.75x 2.47x
Yield 2.42% 2.77%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
17.53EUR
Average target price
17.75EUR
Spread / Average Target
+1.25%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise