Projected Income Statement: NCC AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: NCC AB

Forecast Balance Sheet - NCC AB
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 2,932 3,000 4,310 1,164 1,165 2,981 -3,070 855
Change - 2.32% 43.67% -72.99% 0.09% 155.88% -202.99% 127.85%
Announcement Date 2/2/22 A 1/31/23 A 1/30/24 A 2/10/25 A 2/5/26 A - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: NCC AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 363 401 446 647 767 472.5 489 501
Change - 10.47% 11.22% 45.07% 18.55% -38.4% 3.49% 2.45%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,897 -136 361 3,991 1,151 1,640 6,047 629
Change - -107.17% 365.44% 1,005.54% -71.16% 42.53% 268.61% -89.6%
Announcement Date 2/2/22 A 1/31/23 A 1/30/24 A 2/10/25 A 2/5/26 A - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: NCC AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 5.86% 4.78% 5.31% 5.36% 5.75% 4.42% 4.69% 4.41%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.42% 2.51% 3.17% 3.3% 3.48% 2.25% 2.9% 2.98%
EBT Margin (%) 3.3% 2.4% 3.17% 3.02% 1.13% 1.99% 2.66% 2.96%
Net margin (%) 2.82% 1.97% 2.76% 2.55% 0.25% 2.87% 3.22% 2.34%
FCF margin (%) 3.55% -0.25% 0.63% 6.48% 2.07% 3.49% 13.47% 1.33%
FCF / Net Income (%) 125.8% -12.72% 22.95% 254.04% 810.56% 121.34% 418.77% 56.69%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.2% 3.62% 5.11% 4.91% 4.34% - - -
ROE 30.72% 17% 21% 19.65% 16.39% 13.1% 12.75% 13.35%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.94x 1.16x 1.43x 0.35x 0.36x 1.43x - 0.41x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.55x -22.06x 11.94x 0.29x 1.01x 1.82x - 1.36x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.68% 0.74% 0.78% 1.05% 1.38% 1% 1.09% 1.06%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 11.59% 15.49% 14.76% 19.59% 23.93% 22.73% 23.2% 24.02%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 19.14% -294.85% 123.55% 16.21% 66.64% 28.8% 8.09% 79.65%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - 47.47 19.55 21.7 44.1 16.1
Change - - - - -58.82% 11% 103.23% -63.49%
Dividend per Share 1 6 6 8 9 11 10.83 12 11.5
Change - 0% 33.33% 12.5% 22.22% -1.52% 10.77% -4.17%
Book Value Per Share 1 54.26 73.6 74.96 88.58 80.95 82.08 102.2 68.25
Change - 35.63% 1.86% 18.16% -8.61% 1.39% 24.46% -33.19%
EPS 1 14.02 10.29 16.11 16.08 1.45 13.83 14.73 11.35
Change - -26.6% 56.56% -0.19% -90.98% 853.79% 6.51% -22.95%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 107,595 97,592 97,662 97,792 97,792 97,792 97,792 97,792
Announcement Date 2/2/22 A 1/31/23 A 1/30/24 A 2/10/25 A 2/5/26 A - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 13.1x 12.3x
PBR 2.21x 1.78x
EV / Sales 0.44x 0.33x
Yield 5.96% 6.6%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - NCC AB


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - NCC AB
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - NCC AB
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
MarketScreener Ratings - NCC AB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
4
Last Close Price
181.80SEK
Average target price
205.00SEK
Spread / Average Target
+12.76%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - NCC AB