Projected Income Statement: IBM

Forecast Balance Sheet: IBM

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 44,147 42,108 43,085 40,168 46,789 47,199 39,243 30,173
Change - -4.62% 2.32% -6.77% 16.48% 0.88% -16.86% -23.11%
Announcement Date 1/24/22 A 1/25/23 A 1/24/24 A 1/29/25 A 1/28/26 A - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: IBM

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,381 1,860 1,488 1,127 1,617 1,643 1,696 1,738
Change - -21.88% -20% -24.26% 43.48% 1.59% 3.21% 2.51%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 6,508 9,291 11,210 12,749 14,734 15,216 16,463 17,748
Change - 42.76% 20.65% 13.73% 15.57% 3.27% 8.2% 7.81%
Announcement Date 1/24/22 A 1/25/23 A 1/24/24 A 1/29/25 A 1/28/26 A - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: IBM

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) - 24.35% 24.97% 26.13% 28.43% 28.17% 28.68% 28.72%
EBIT Margin (%) - 16.42% 17.87% 17.95% 20.92% 21.08% 21.11% 21.82%
EBT Margin (%) 8.43% 1.91% 14.05% 9.24% 15.29% 14.76% 17.66% 19.05%
Net margin (%) 10.01% 2.71% 12.13% 9.6% 15.69% 13.24% 15.12% 15.93%
FCF margin (%) 11.35% 15.35% 18.12% 20.32% 21.82% 21.48% 22.35% 22.89%
FCF / Net Income (%) 113.32% 566.87% 149.43% 211.67% 139.09% 162.28% 147.81% 143.69%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.99% 6.42% 5.73% 7.11% 7.61% 7.56% 8% 8.6%
ROE 36.33% 40.77% 33.79% 38.86% 36.67% 32.26% 29.14% 26.92%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 2.86x 2.79x 2.45x 2.44x 2.36x 1.86x 1.35x
Debt / Free cash flow 6.78x 4.53x 3.84x 3.15x 3.18x 3.1x 2.38x 1.7x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.15% 3.07% 2.41% 1.8% 2.39% 2.32% 2.3% 2.24%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - 12.62% 9.63% 6.87% 8.42% 8.23% 8.03% 7.8%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 36.59% 20.02% 13.27% 8.84% 10.97% 10.8% 10.3% 9.79%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 14.15 11.44 15.11 14.35 13.91 18.35 17.79 18.8
Change - -19.14% 32.08% -5.04% -3.06% 31.94% -3.04% 5.68%
Dividend per Share 1 6.55 6.52 6.63 6.67 6.71 6.75 6.792 6.868
Change - -0.46% 1.69% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.63% 1.11%
Book Value Per Share 1 21.09 24.31 24.63 29.48 34.84 40.56 47.1 54.76
Change - 15.24% 1.3% 19.71% 18.2% 16.4% 16.12% 16.27%
EPS 1 6.35 1.8 8.14 6.43 11.17 9.741 11.15 12.39
Change - -71.65% 352.22% -21.01% 73.72% -12.79% 14.47% 11.1%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 896,800 904,126 913,119 924,645 934,735 939,885 939,885 939,885
Announcement Date 1/24/22 A 1/25/23 A 1/24/24 A 1/29/25 A 1/28/26 A - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 21.8x 19.1x
PBR 5.24x 4.52x
EV / Sales 3.49x 3.25x
Yield 3.17% 3.19%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
24
Last Close Price
212.67USD
Average target price
273.75USD
Spread / Average Target
+28.72%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise