Projected Income Statement: Covivio

Forecast Balance Sheet: Covivio

Forecast Balance Sheet - Covivio
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 10,972 - 6,925 6,845 7,061 7,679 7,823 7,907
Change - - - -1.16% 3.16% 8.75% 1.88% 1.07%
Announcement Date 2/22/22 A 2/21/23 A 2/15/24 A 2/19/25 A 2/18/26 A - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Covivio

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 697.5 484.5 595.8 579.6 512 608 616
Change - - 22.97% -2.72% -11.66% 18.75% 1.32%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 716.3 347.2 384.7 240 346 475 664
Change - - 10.8% -37.61% 44.17% 37.28% 39.79%
Announcement Date 2/22/22 A 2/15/24 A 2/19/25 A 2/18/26 A - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Covivio

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 91.76% 88.05% 89.51% 58.7% 101.29% 91.51% 92.6% 93.43%
EBIT Margin (%) 83.75% 85.28% 86.09% 57.18% 96.99% 109.98% 111.41% 121.59%
EBT Margin (%) 170.55% 117.3% -252.45% 7.53% 98.57% 83.38% 80.51% 88.05%
Net margin (%) 155.33% 102.29% -230.47% 6.81% 116.37% 71.26% 84.33% 81.56%
FCF margin (%) 120.47% - 56.4% 38.47% 37.81% 49.11% 65.45% 88.06%
FCF / Net Income (%) 77.56% - -24.47% 564.9% 32.49% 68.92% 77.61% 107.97%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.48% - 1.65% 1.91% 2.94% - - -
ROE 4.62% - 5% 5.9% 6.02% 5.88% 5.94% 5.88%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 20.11x - 12.57x 11.66x 10.98x 11.91x 11.64x 11.22x
Debt / Free cash flow 15.32x - 19.95x 17.79x 29.42x 22.19x 16.47x 11.91x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 117.31% - 78.7% 59.58% 91.3% 72.67% 83.77% 81.69%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 127.84% - 87.93% 101.5% 90.14% 79.42% 90.47% 87.44%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 97.37% - 139.54% 154.87% 241.5% 147.98% 128% 92.77%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 6.903 - 8.531 8.074 8.251 5.125 5.152 5.221
Change - - - -5.36% 2.18% -37.88% 0.52% 1.35%
Dividend per Share 1 3.75 3.75 3.3 3.5 3.75 3.947 4.022 4.136
Change - 0% -12% 6.06% 7.14% 5.26% 1.88% 2.83%
Book Value Per Share 1 90.97 100.6 81.62 73.9 77.3 82.98 85.47 88.62
Change - 10.63% -18.9% -9.46% 4.6% 7.35% 3% 3.68%
EPS 1 9.791 6.606 -14.55 0.637 6.667 4.762 4.918 5.692
Change - -32.53% -320.31% 104.38% 946.69% -28.57% 3.28% 15.73%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 94,369 93,764 100,084 110,805 110,750 110,804 110,804 110,804
Announcement Date 2/22/22 A 2/21/23 A 2/15/24 A 2/19/25 A 2/18/26 A - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 9.24x 8.95x
PBR 0.53x 0.52x
EV / Sales 17.8x 17.5x
Yield 8.97% 9.14%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Covivio


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Covivio
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Covivio
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
MarketScreener Ratings - Covivio
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
9
Last Close Price
44.02EUR
Average target price
57.63EUR
Spread / Average Target
+30.93%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Covivio