Projected Income Statement: Orange

Forecast Balance Sheet: Orange

Forecast Balance Sheet - Orange
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 24,269 25,298 27,002 22,482 22,526 37,142 39,525 37,626
Change - 4.24% 6.74% -16.74% 0.2% 64.89% 6.42% -4.8%
Announcement Date 2/17/22 A 2/16/23 A 2/15/24 A 2/13/25 A 2/18/26 A - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Orange

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 7,660 7,371 6,815 6,425 6,208 7,443 7,669 7,622
Change - -3.77% -7.54% -5.72% -3.38% 19.9% 3.03% -0.62%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,576 3,864 5,239 3,770 4,572 4,113 4,818 5,272
Change - 8.05% 35.58% -28.04% 21.27% -10.05% 17.15% 9.42%
Announcement Date 2/17/22 A 2/16/23 A 2/15/24 A 2/13/25 A 2/18/26 A - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Orange

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 29.55% 29.82% 29.54% 30.08% 30.87% 33.06% 33.32% 33.89%
EBIT Margin (%) 18.74% 13.67% 12.71% 13.63% 11.31% 15.54% 13.89% 14.18%
EBT Margin (%) 4.09% 8.93% 8.53% 10.57% 5.47% 15.13% 10.33% 11.37%
Net margin (%) 0.55% 4.94% 5.53% 5.84% 1.33% 9.22% 6.23% 6.95%
FCF margin (%) 8.41% 8.89% 11.87% 9.36% 11.32% 9.06% 9.78% 10.52%
FCF / Net Income (%) 1,534.76% 180.06% 214.71% 160.43% 849.81% 98.27% 157.07% 151.44%

Profitability

        
ROA 0.22% 1.97% 2.22% 2.2% 0.51% 3.68% 2.95% 3.13%
ROE 6.1% 6.69% 7.67% 7.39% 1.75% 10.48% 8.7% 9.21%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.93x 1.95x 2.07x 1.86x 1.81x 2.48x 2.41x 2.22x
Debt / Free cash flow 6.79x 6.55x 5.15x 5.96x 4.93x 9.03x 8.2x 7.14x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 18.01% 16.96% 15.45% 15.96% 15.37% 16.4% 15.57% 15.21%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 60.96% 56.86% 52.28% 53.06% 49.78% 49.62% 46.72% 44.9%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 214.21% 190.76% 130.08% 170.42% 135.78% 180.99% 159.18% 144.58%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.228 4.182 4.531 3.833 4.052 4.131 4.594 4.695
Change - -1.09% 8.35% -15.4% 5.72% 1.93% 11.23% 2.19%
Dividend per Share 1 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.72 0.75 0.787 0.8196 0.8513
Change - 0% 0% 2.86% 4.17% 4.93% 4.14% 3.87%
Book Value Per Share 1 12.16 11.96 11.97 11.95 11.19 12.68 12.68 13.05
Change - -1.66% 0.1% -0.14% -6.39% 13.33% 0.04% 2.87%
EPS 1 - 0.73 0.85 0.82 0.14 1.575 1.144 1.268
Change - - 16.44% -3.53% -82.93% 1,024.81% -27.35% 10.86%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,631,971 2,657,122 2,659,182 2,658,153 2,658,600 2,657,769 2,657,769 2,657,769
Announcement Date 2/17/22 A 2/16/23 A 2/15/24 A 2/13/25 A 2/18/26 A - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 9.03x 12.4x
PBR 1.12x 1.12x
EV / Sales 1.65x 1.57x
Yield 5.53% 5.76%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Orange


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Orange
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Orange
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
MarketScreener Ratings - Orange
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
14.22EUR
Average target price
18.89EUR
Spread / Average Target
+32.78%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Orange