Projected Income Statement: NEC Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: NEC Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 149,044 126,187 56,425 81,744 -169,819 -486,842 -689,089 -820,961
Change - -15.34% -55.28% 44.87% -307.74% -186.68% -41.54% -19.14%
Announcement Date 4/28/22 A 4/28/23 A 4/26/24 A 4/28/25 A 4/28/26 A - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: NEC Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 71,106 77,714 96,499 150,625 91,556 175,359 102,364 102,800
Change - 9.29% 24.17% 56.09% -39.22% 91.53% -41.63% 0.43%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 84,140 102,536 174,729 213,244 404,777 347,696 331,998 370,259
Change - 21.86% 70.41% 22.04% 89.82% -14.1% -4.51% 11.52%
Announcement Date 4/28/22 A 4/28/23 A 4/26/24 A 4/28/25 A 4/28/26 A - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: NEC Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.39% 10.68% 10.8% 12.9% 14.36% 15.82% 16.83% 17.32%
EBIT Margin (%) 4.4% 5.14% 5.41% 7.49% 10.05% 11.51% 12.51% 13.2%
EBT Margin (%) 4.79% 5.06% 5.32% 7% 11.11% 11.75% 12.38% 13.24%
Net margin (%) 4.69% 3.46% 4.3% 5.12% 7.54% 8.06% 8.65% 9.22%
FCF margin (%) 2.79% 3.09% 5.02% 6.23% 11.3% 9.37% 8.54% 9.17%
FCF / Net Income (%) 59.56% 89.55% 116.86% 121.73% 149.79% 116.26% 98.78% 99.46%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.89% 4.33% 4.51% 5.61% 9.07% 7.29% 7.75% 8.11%
ROE 10% 7.3% 8.4% 9.1% 13% 12.78% 13.03% 13.08%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.48x 0.36x 0.15x 0.19x - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 1.77x 1.23x 0.32x 0.38x - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.36% 2.35% 2.78% 4.4% 2.56% 4.72% 2.63% 2.55%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 22.71% 21.97% 25.68% 34.11% 17.8% 29.87% 15.65% 14.7%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 84.51% 75.79% 55.23% 70.64% 22.62% 50.43% 30.83% 27.76%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 236.2 220.8 253.2 250.4 319 344.7 380.2 407.9
Change - -6.53% 14.65% -1.08% 27.38% 8.06% 10.3% 7.28%
Dividend per Share 1 20 22 24 28 38 42.66 47.78 52.58
Change - 10% 9.09% 16.67% 35.71% 12.27% 11.98% 10.06%
Book Value Per Share 1 1,111 1,219 1,438 1,465 1,656 1,844 2,023 2,265
Change - 9.75% 17.92% 1.87% 13.07% 11.36% 9.69% 11.98%
EPS 1 103.7 84.9 112.2 131.5 203 224.1 252.6 280.5
Change - -18.13% 32.21% 17.15% 54.33% 10.44% 12.71% 11.02%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,362,288 1,331,749 1,332,286 1,332,707 1,328,499 1,326,342 1,326,342 1,326,342
Announcement Date 4/28/22 A 4/28/23 A 4/26/24 A 4/28/25 A 4/28/26 A - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 20.7x 18.3x
PBR 2.51x 2.29x
EV / Sales 1.52x 1.4x
Yield 0.92% 1.03%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
4,631.00JPY
Average target price
5,949.17JPY
Spread / Average Target
+28.46%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise