Projected Income Statement: Lindt

Forecast Balance Sheet: Lindt

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 295 571 943 649 1,096 1,005 940 909
Change - 93.56% 65.15% -31.18% 68.88% -8.32% -6.47% -3.3%
Announcement Date 3/8/22 A 3/7/23 A 3/5/24 A 3/4/25 A 3/10/26 A - - -
1CHF in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Lindt

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 240.8 229.9 301 312 332.7 337.3 347.9 365.8
Change - -4.53% 30.93% 3.65% 6.63% 1.37% 3.15% 5.15%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 586 526.1 477.6 870 187.7 826 767.3 797
Change - -10.22% -9.22% 82.16% -78.43% 340.08% -7.12% 3.87%
Announcement Date 3/8/22 A 3/7/23 A 3/5/24 A 3/4/25 A 3/10/26 A - - -
1CHF in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Lindt

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 20.1% 20.48% 21.03% 21.61% 21.48% 21.71% 22.03% 22.24%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.06% 14.98% 15.63% 16.17% 16.41% 16.54% 16.93% 17.14%
EBT Margin (%) 13.56% 14.52% 15.14% 15.57% 15.61% 15.92% 16.4% 16.72%
Net margin (%) 10.7% 11.46% 12.91% 12.29% 12.29% 12.3% 12.57% 12.74%
FCF margin (%) 12.78% 10.59% 9.18% 15.91% 3.17% 13.86% 12.39% 12.22%
FCF / Net Income (%) 119.47% 92.35% 71.13% 129.41% 25.81% 112.62% 98.58% 95.87%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.77% 6.74% 8.5% 7.9% 7.97% 7.99% 8.42% 8.99%
ROE 9.99% 11.84% 15.51% 14.78% 14.85% 14.73% 15.23% 15.83%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.32x 0.56x 0.86x 0.55x 0.86x 0.78x 0.69x 0.63x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.5x 1.09x 1.98x 0.75x 5.84x 1.22x 1.23x 1.14x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.25% 4.63% 5.79% 5.71% 5.62% 5.66% 5.62% 5.61%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 26.13% 22.59% 27.52% 26.41% 26.18% 26.06% 25.5% 25.22%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 41.09% 43.7% 63.02% 35.86% 177.25% 40.83% 45.34% 45.9%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3,404 3,168 3,350 5,129 2,264 4,561 4,787 4,960
Change - -6.94% 5.75% 53.1% -55.86% 101.47% 4.95% 3.62%
Dividend per Share 1 1,200 1,300 1,400 1,500 1,800 1,868 2,004 2,015
Change - 8.33% 7.69% 7.14% 20% 3.79% 7.28% 0.53%
Book Value Per Share 1 21,818 18,662 18,131 20,860 21,381 21,927 22,852 23,873
Change - -14.47% -2.85% 15.05% 2.5% 2.56% 4.22% 4.47%
EPS 1 2,019 2,387 2,859 2,898 3,137 3,165 3,385 3,631
Change - 18.21% 19.77% 1.35% 8.25% 0.89% 6.96% 7.26%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 241 232 233 231 230 229.2 229.2 229.2
Announcement Date 3/8/22 A 3/7/23 A 3/5/24 A 3/4/25 A 3/10/26 A - - -
1CHF
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 25x 23.3x
PBR 3.6x 3.46x
EV / Sales 3.15x 3.02x
Yield 2.36% 2.54%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
79,000.00CHF
Average target price
97,593.12CHF
Spread / Average Target
+23.54%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise