Projected Income Statement: KCE Electronics

Forecast Balance Sheet: KCE Electronics

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,703 2,680 460 -450 -533 -322 -567 -189
Change - 57.37% -82.84% -197.83% -18.44% 39.58% -76.09% 66.67%
Announcement Date 2/8/22 A 2/7/23 A 2/13/24 A 2/24/25 A 2/10/26 A - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: KCE Electronics

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,725 1,021 443.9 800.6 951.5 716.8 863 649.8
Change - -40.84% -56.51% 80.35% 18.85% -24.66% 20.4% -24.7%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 10.26 1,015 3,770 2,510 1,585 1,708 1,557 2,624
Change - 9,798.68% 271.34% -33.43% -36.84% 7.75% -8.84% 68.53%
Announcement Date 2/8/22 A 2/7/23 A 2/13/24 A 2/24/25 A 2/10/26 A - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: KCE Electronics

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 24.99% 18.03% 16.67% 17% 13.95% 18.04% 20.61% 18.73%
EBIT Margin (%) 18.13% 11.99% 9.97% 9.81% 5.55% 10.21% 13.26% 13.49%
EBT Margin (%) 17.96% 13.49% 11.5% 12.12% 7.38% 11% 13.53% 13.98%
Net margin (%) 16.24% 12.56% 10.52% 11.11% 6.37% 9.55% 12.15% 12.37%
FCF margin (%) 0.07% 5.5% 23.07% 16.92% 12.12% 11.35% 8.43% 13.23%
FCF / Net Income (%) 0.42% 43.81% 219.24% 152.24% 190.36% 118.86% 69.35% 106.96%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.34% 10.79% 8.56% 8.77% 4.58% 7.74% 10.78% 11.1%
ROE 19.11% 17.31% 12.7% 12.01% 6.19% 10.86% 16.13% 17.78%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.46x 0.81x 0.17x - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 166.05x 2.64x 0.12x - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 11.55% 5.53% 2.72% 5.4% 7.28% 4.76% 4.67% 3.28%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 46.22% 30.67% 16.29% 31.75% 52.15% 26.39% 22.67% 17.5%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 16,821.17% 100.54% 11.77% 31.9% 60.02% 41.97% 55.43% 24.76%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.466 1.72 3.565 2.8 2.146 1.98 2.307 3.3
Change - 17.3% 107.26% -21.45% -23.37% -7.73% 16.5% 43.06%
Dividend per Share 1 1 1.6 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.205 1.494 1.425
Change - 60% -25% 8.33% -7.69% 0.44% 23.98% -4.63%
Book Value Per Share 1 11.36 11.33 11.58 11.64 11.11 11.28 11.83 12.54
Change - -0.27% 2.22% 0.49% -4.5% 1.54% 4.84% 6.04%
EPS 1 2.05 1.96 1.45 1.39 0.7 1.208 1.899 2.076
Change - -4.39% -26.02% -4.14% -49.64% 72.57% 57.17% 9.37%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,181,590 1,181,966 1,182,089 1,182,089 1,182,089 1,182,089 1,182,089 1,182,089
Announcement Date 2/8/22 A 2/7/23 A 2/13/24 A 2/24/25 A 2/10/26 A - - -
1THB
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 62.1x 39.5x
PBR 6.65x 6.34x
EV / Sales 5.87x 4.77x
Yield 1.61% 1.99%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
75.00THB
Average target price
68.10THB
Spread / Average Target
-9.21%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise