Projected Income Statement: Constellium

Forecast Balance Sheet: Constellium

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,982 1,891 1,664 1,697 1,544 1,373 1,086 453
Change - -4.59% -12% 1.98% -9.02% -11.06% -20.9% -58.29%
Announcement Date 2/23/22 A 2/22/23 A 2/21/24 A 2/20/25 A 2/18/26 A - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Constellium

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 232 273 337 394.7 279.3 286.8 279.4 280
Change - 17.67% 23.44% 17.11% -29.24% 2.68% -2.56% 0.22%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 125 182 170 -95.56 150.6 294 296.9 323.7
Change - 45.6% -6.59% -156.21% 257.64% 95.15% 1.01% 9%
Announcement Date 2/23/22 A 2/22/23 A 2/21/24 A 2/20/25 A 2/18/26 A - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Constellium

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 9.44% 8.29% 9.85% 8.47% 10.01% 9.16% 8.8% 9.66%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.1% 4.11% 4.66% 3.34% 6.12% 6.89% 5.72% 6.38%
EBT Margin (%) 5.15% 2.5% 2.71% 1.84% 4.83% 6.21% 4.75% 5.46%
Net margin (%) 4.18% 3.71% 1.73% 0.76% 3.23% 4.46% 3.33% 3.58%
FCF margin (%) 2.03% 2.24% 2.35% -1.36% 2.11% 3.23% 3.18% 3.53%
FCF / Net Income (%) 48.64% 60.47% 136% -178.57% 65.26% 72.42% 95.56% 98.42%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.87% 6.29% 3.45% 1.16% 5.41% 8.01% 5.97% -
ROE 329.51% 57.72% 21.07% 7.87% 32.93% 41.16% 25.69% 21.06%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.41x 2.81x 2.33x 2.85x 2.16x 1.65x 1.32x 0.51x
Debt / Free cash flow 15.86x 10.39x 9.79x -17.76x 10.25x 4.67x 3.66x 1.4x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.77% 3.36% 4.66% 5.62% 3.91% 3.15% 2.99% 3.05%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 39.93% 40.56% 47.27% 66.29% 39.04% 34.37% 34.01% 31.56%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 185.6% 150% 198.24% -413% 185.39% 97.54% 94.09% 86.52%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.426 3.076 3.391 1.943 2.916 4.304 4.55 -
Change - 26.82% 10.22% -42.68% 50.03% 47.6% 5.72% -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 1.93 5.066 5.742 4.391 5.768 8.429 10.72 14.34
Change - 162.48% 13.34% -23.52% 31.36% 46.14% 27.12% 33.84%
EPS 1 1.75 2.06 0.84 0.3631 1.623 2.886 2.218 2.484
Change - 17.71% -59.22% -56.77% 347.05% 77.75% -23.14% 12.01%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 141,677 144,302 146,820 146,266 137,802 136,150 136,150 136,150
Announcement Date 2/23/22 A 2/22/23 A 2/21/24 A 2/20/25 A 2/18/26 A - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 8.83x 11.5x
PBR 3.02x 2.38x
EV / Sales 0.53x 0.49x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
25.48EUR
Average target price
32.41EUR
Spread / Average Target
+27.20%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise