Projected Income Statement: adidas AG

Forecast Balance Sheet: adidas AG

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -1,333 2,675 1,548 3,132 3,937 3,904 3,843 3,652
Change - 300.68% -42.13% 102.33% 25.7% -0.84% -1.56% -4.97%
Announcement Date 3/9/22 A 3/8/23 A 1/31/24 A 3/4/25 A 3/3/26 A - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: adidas AG

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 667 695 504 540 363 541.6 576.9 624.3
Change - 4.2% -27.48% 7.14% -32.78% 49.2% 6.51% 8.23%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,525 -1,238 2,126 2,370 388 2,252 2,480 2,761
Change - -149.03% 271.73% 11.48% -83.63% 480.51% 10.09% 11.36%
Announcement Date 3/9/22 A 3/8/23 A 1/31/24 A 3/4/25 A 3/3/26 A - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: adidas AG

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.76% 9.08% 6.91% 10.75% 12.94% 13.56% 14.46% 14.63%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.35% 2.97% 1.25% 5.65% 8.29% 8.91% 9.64% 10.82%
EBT Margin (%) 8.72% 1.72% 0.3% 4.73% 7.34% 8.49% 9.53% 10.11%
Net margin (%) 9.97% 2.72% -0.35% 3.23% 5.4% 6.17% 7.05% 7.56%
FCF margin (%) 11.89% -5.5% 9.92% 10.01% 1.56% 8.5% 8.83% 9.08%
FCF / Net Income (%) 119.33% -202.29% -2,834.67% 310.21% 28.96% 137.76% 125.28% 120.1%

Profitability

        
ROA 9.8% 2.88% -0.39% 3.95% 6.55% 7.93% 9.44% 10.99%
ROE 30.29% 9.78% -1.57% 15.19% 23.82% 26.83% 28.95% 30.94%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 1.31x 1.05x 1.23x 1.23x 1.09x 0.95x 0.82x
Debt / Free cash flow - -2.16x 0.73x 1.32x 10.15x 1.73x 1.55x 1.32x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.14% 3.09% 2.35% 2.28% 1.46% 2.04% 2.02% 2.04%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 21.28% 34% 34.05% 21.22% 11.31% 15.67% 15% 14.04%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 26.42% -56.14% 23.71% 22.78% 93.56% 24.05% 23.26% 22.61%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 16.44 -2.963 14.73 16.3 4.206 13.38 15.02 18.07
Change - -118.02% 597.12% 10.64% -74.19% 218.11% 12.29% 20.32%
Dividend per Share 1 3.3 0.7 0.7 2 2.8 3.828 4.636 5.186
Change - -78.79% 0% 185.71% 40% 36.73% 21.09% 11.86%
Book Value Per Share 1 38.72 27.96 25.65 30.67 32.33 37.45 43.1 46.87
Change - -27.81% -8.24% 19.56% 5.41% 15.83% 15.1% 8.75%
EPS 1 10.9 3.34 -0.42 4.28 7.51 9.365 11.57 13.81
Change - -69.36% -112.57% 1,119.05% 75.47% 24.7% 23.51% 19.39%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 191,595 193,215 178,549 178,549 178,549 175,359 175,359 175,359
Announcement Date 3/9/22 A 3/8/23 A 1/31/24 A 3/4/25 A 3/3/26 A - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 18.4x 14.9x
PBR 4.6x 3.99x
EV / Sales 1.28x 1.19x
Yield 2.22% 2.69%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
29
Last Close Price
172.10EUR
Average target price
199.71EUR
Spread / Average Target
+16.04%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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