Projected Income Statement: Shell plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Shell plc

Forecast Balance Sheet - Shell plc
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 52,555 44,837 43,541 38,809 45,687 40,470 30,672 29,350
Change - -14.69% -2.89% -10.87% 17.72% -11.42% -24.21% -4.31%
Announcement Date 2/3/22 A 2/2/23 A 2/1/24 A 1/30/25 A 2/5/26 A - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Shell plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 19,000 22,600 22,993 19,601 18,947 21,273 21,038 21,251
Change - 18.95% 1.74% -14.75% -3.34% 12.28% -1.1% 1.01%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 40,345 45,814 36,460 39,530 26,052 38,497 35,561 30,840
Change - 13.56% -20.42% 8.42% -34.1% 47.77% -7.62% -13.28%
Announcement Date 2/3/22 A 2/2/23 A 2/1/24 A 1/30/25 A 2/5/26 A - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Shell plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 21.03% 22.1% 21.65% 23.14% 21.03% 22.72% 22.43% 21.45%
EBIT Margin (%) 12.52% 16.42% 11.76% 15.16% 12.73% 16.19% 14.67% 13.47%
EBT Margin (%) 11.41% 17% 10.31% 10.52% 11.15% 15.26% 13.5% 12.4%
Net margin (%) 7.69% 11.1% 6.11% 5.66% 6.68% 9.72% 9.11% 8.51%
FCF margin (%) 15.43% 12.01% 11.52% 13.9% 9.76% 10.77% 10.98% 10.23%
FCF / Net Income (%) 200.71% 108.28% 188.33% 245.63% 146.05% 110.85% 120.52% 120.19%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.92% 9.41% 6.7% 5.97% 4.89% 9.67% 8.4% 6.63%
ROE 11.79% 23.35% 15% 13% 10.51% 19.52% 15.52% 12.71%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.96x 0.53x 0.64x 0.59x 0.81x 0.5x 0.42x 0.45x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.3x 0.98x 1.19x 0.98x 1.75x 1.05x 0.86x 0.95x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.27% 5.93% 7.26% 6.89% 7.1% 5.95% 6.49% 7.05%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 34.54% 26.81% 33.55% 29.79% 33.75% 26.2% 28.95% 32.86%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 47.09% 49.33% 63.06% 49.59% 72.73% 55.26% 59.16% 68.91%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.778 9.232 7.97 8.593 7.206 10.85 10.13 9.566
Change - 59.79% -13.67% 7.82% -16.15% 50.62% -6.63% -5.59%
Dividend per Share 1 0.8935 0.99 1.294 1.39 1.446 1.559 1.631 1.705
Change - 10.8% 30.66% 7.46% 4.03% 7.78% 4.62% 4.59%
Book Value Per Share 1 22.38 27.2 28.6 29.16 30.5 33.55 36.53 39.21
Change - 21.53% 5.16% 1.95% 4.59% 10.03% 8.86% 7.34%
EPS 1 2.57 5.71 2.85 2.53 3 6.17 5.554 5.142
Change - 122.18% -50.09% -11.23% 18.58% 105.67% -9.98% -7.42%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 7,640,301 7,003,503 6,524,109 6,115,031 5,720,615 5,705,509 5,705,509 5,705,509
Announcement Date 2/3/22 A 2/2/23 A 2/1/24 A 1/30/25 A 2/5/26 A - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 8.65x 9.61x
PBR 1.59x 1.46x
EV / Sales 0.95x 1.02x
Yield 2.92% 3.05%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Shell plc


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Shell plc
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Shell plc
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
MarketScreener Ratings - Shell plc
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
53.39USD
Average target price
53.64USD
Spread / Average Target
+0.47%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Shell plc
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