Projected Income Statement: VINCI

Forecast Balance Sheet: VINCI

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 19,266 18,536 16,126 20,415 19,075 18,880 17,484 16,066
Change - -3.79% -13% 26.6% -6.56% -1.02% -7.39% -8.11%
Announcement Date 2/4/22 A 2/9/23 A 2/7/24 A 2/6/25 A 2/5/26 A - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: VINCI

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,892 3,292 3,140 4,161 4,184 4,597 4,731 4,786
Change - 74% -4.62% 32.52% 0.55% 9.87% 2.93% 1.16%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,282 4,146 6,628 6,808 7,702 5,489 5,477 5,681
Change - -21.51% 59.86% 2.72% 13.13% -28.74% -0.22% 3.72%
Announcement Date 2/4/22 A 2/9/23 A 2/7/24 A 2/6/25 A 2/5/26 A - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: VINCI

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 15.96% 16.56% 17.38% 17.72% 18.11% 18.27% 18.41% 18.58%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.56% 11.06% 12.14% 12.56% 12.81% 12.87% 13.05% 13.2%
EBT Margin (%) 7.73% 9.98% 10.2% 10.3% 10.64% 10.95% 11.27% 11.57%
Net margin (%) 5.26% 6.91% 6.83% 6.79% 6.57% 6.77% 7.19% 7.46%
FCF margin (%) 10.69% 6.72% 9.63% 9.51% 10.32% 7.18% 6.93% 6.97%
FCF / Net Income (%) 203.39% 97.35% 140.96% 140% 157.09% 106.04% 96.41% 93.45%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.72% 4% 4.08% 3.92% 3.73% 4.48% 4.85% 5.06%
ROE 11.83% 17.45% 17.4% 16.75% 16.16% 15.94% 16.59% 16.55%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.44x 1.81x 1.35x 1.61x 1.41x 1.35x 1.2x 1.06x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.65x 4.47x 2.43x 3x 2.48x 3.44x 3.19x 2.83x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.83% 5.34% 4.56% 5.81% 5.61% 6.01% 5.99% 5.87%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 24% 32.23% 26.25% 32.79% 30.98% 32.89% 32.55% 31.62%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 35.82% 79.4% 47.37% 61.12% 54.32% 83.75% 86.39% 84.26%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 13.56 16.45 13.5 14.33 20.97 16.36 17.51 18.71
Change - 21.38% -17.97% 6.16% 46.35% -21.99% 7.02% 6.86%
Dividend per Share 1 2.9 4 4.5 4.75 5 5.31 5.817 6.357
Change - 37.93% 12.5% 5.56% 5.26% 6.2% 9.55% 9.27%
Book Value Per Share 1 38.98 45.47 49.48 51.89 52.86 59.07 63.01 67.3
Change - 16.64% 8.82% 4.88% 1.86% 11.76% 6.67% 6.81%
EPS 1 4.51 7.47 8.18 8.43 8.65 9.077 10.03 10.73
Change - 65.63% 9.5% 3.06% 2.61% 4.93% 10.53% 6.93%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 567,846 563,597 570,844 563,091 556,784 554,143 554,143 554,143
Announcement Date 2/4/22 A 2/9/23 A 2/7/24 A 2/6/25 A 2/5/26 A - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 13.8x 12.5x
PBR 2.12x 1.99x
EV / Sales 1.15x 1.1x
Yield 4.24% 4.65%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
21
Last Close Price
125.10EUR
Average target price
143.24EUR
Spread / Average Target
+14.50%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise