Projected Income Statement: Scatec ASA

Forecast Balance Sheet: Scatec ASA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 14,949 19,578 23,284 24,639 25,663 29,332 37,778 39,443
Change - 30.97% 18.93% 5.82% 4.16% 14.3% 28.79% 4.41%
Announcement Date 2/3/22 A 2/3/23 A 1/26/24 A 1/31/25 A 1/30/26 A - - -
1NOK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Scatec ASA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 967 1,986 8,786 3,268 6,029 7,965 17,344 8,288
Change - 105.38% 342.4% -62.8% 84.49% 32.11% 117.76% -52.22%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 10,153 -1,230 -4,961 -140 -3,569 -2,980 -10,616 1,627
Change - -112.11% -303.33% 97.18% -2,449.29% 16.51% -256.28% 115.33%
Announcement Date 2/3/22 A 2/3/23 A 1/26/24 A 1/31/25 A 1/30/26 A - - -
1NOK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Scatec ASA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 76.33% 68.12% 75.56% 82.46% 76.61% 77.01% 74.87% 69.41%
EBIT Margin (%) 52.91% 19.27% 55.6% 62.78% 54.31% 52.06% 54.13% 53.36%
EBT Margin (%) 11.99% -29.19% 21.35% 22.27% 20.52% 9.89% 19.72% 21.23%
Net margin (%) 10.2% -35.56% 13.3% 19.91% 19.95% 9.3% 16.95% 17.87%
FCF margin (%) 266.97% -32.79% -105.08% -2.13% -68.14% -54.79% -134.84% 15.26%
FCF / Net Income (%) 2,616.75% 92.2% -789.97% -10.7% -341.53% -589.31% -795.71% 85.41%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.3% -3.82% 1.6% 2.99% - - - -
ROE 4.3% -15.22% 7.41% 13.55% 10.09% 3.6% 9.86% 12%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 5.15x 7.66x 6.53x 4.55x 6.39x 7x 6.41x 5.33x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.47x -15.92x -4.69x -175.99x -7.19x -9.84x -3.56x 24.24x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 25.43% 52.95% 186.1% 49.71% 115.1% 146.47% 220.29% 77.73%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 33.31% 77.73% 246.31% 60.28% 150.24% 190.21% 294.22% 111.98%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 9.52% -161.46% -177.1% -2,334.29% -168.93% -267.31% -163.38% 509.34%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 12.96 4.758 24.07 19.69 15.4 24.11 39.8 55.68
Change - -63.28% 405.95% -18.2% -21.81% 56.58% 65.09% 39.92%
Dividend per Share 1 2.54 1.94 - - - 0.00857 0.00333 0.004
Change - -23.62% - - - - -61.14% 20.12%
Book Value Per Share 1 58.34 52 54.67 66.88 63.51 67.86 78.47 90.72
Change - -10.86% 5.13% 22.34% -5.05% 6.86% 15.63% 15.62%
EPS 1 2.43 -8.4 3.95 8.24 6.54 2.702 8.333 12.1
Change - -445.68% 147.02% 108.61% -20.63% -58.68% 208.37% 45.23%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 158,792 158,756 158,917 159,028 158,917 159,849 159,849 159,849
Announcement Date 2/3/22 A 2/3/23 A 1/26/24 A 1/31/25 A 1/30/26 A - - -
1NOK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 36.5x 11.8x
PBR 1.45x 1.26x
EV / Sales 8.29x 6.8x
Yield 0.01% -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
9
Last Close Price
98.55NOK
Average target price
129.89NOK
Spread / Average Target
+31.80%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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