Projected Income Statement: Safran

Forecast Balance Sheet: Safran

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,544 -14 -374 -1,738 -1,738 -4,334 -6,584 -9,065
Change - -100.91% -2,571.43% -364.71% 0% -149.37% -51.92% -37.68%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 A 2/17/23 A 2/15/24 A 2/14/25 A 2/12/26 A - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Safran

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 387 498 823 1,044 1,238 1,859 1,841 1,861
Change - 28.68% 65.26% 26.85% 18.58% 50.17% -0.99% 1.11%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,680 2,666 2,945 3,189 3,921 4,795 5,340 6,039
Change - 58.69% 10.47% 8.29% 22.95% 22.28% 11.36% 13.1%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 A 2/17/23 A 2/15/24 A 2/14/25 A 2/12/26 A - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Safran

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 18.21% 19.26% 19.82% 19.82% 22.39% 22.04% 22.34% 22.47%
EBIT Margin (%) 11.83% 12.65% 13.65% 15.08% 16.59% 17.94% 18.4% 18.68%
EBT Margin (%) 1.76% -16.39% 20.5% -3.14% 32.78% 18% 18.86% 19.22%
Net margin (%) 0.28% -12.92% 14.85% -2.44% 22.91% 11.3% 13.1% 13.47%
FCF margin (%) 11.01% 14.01% 12.69% 11.67% 12.52% 13.13% 13.28% 13.77%
FCF / Net Income (%) 3,906.98% -108.42% 85.51% -478.11% 54.63% 116.2% 101.42% 102.24%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.87% 2.66% 4.17% 5.82% 5.43% 6.65% 7.72% 8.11%
ROE 6.03% 10.13% 18.45% 28.21% 25.38% 27.2% 29.54% 28.74%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.56x - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.92x - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.54% 2.62% 3.55% 3.82% 3.95% 5.09% 4.58% 4.24%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 13.93% 13.58% 17.9% 19.29% 17.65% 23.1% 20.49% 18.89%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 23.04% 18.68% 27.95% 32.74% 31.57% 38.77% 34.47% 30.82%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.535 8.054 9.899 11.25 13.69 15.21 17.08 19.77
Change - 45.5% 22.9% 13.65% 21.7% 11.12% 12.27% 15.77%
Dividend per Share 1 0.5 1.35 1.35 2.9 3.35 4.127 5.182 5.82
Change - 170% 0% 114.81% 15.52% 23.19% 25.55% 12.32%
Book Value Per Share 1 30.09 24.52 26.84 24.19 35.51 38.26 44.38 51.7
Change - -18.5% 9.44% -9.88% 46.81% 7.74% 16% 16.5%
EPS 1 0.1 -5.76 8.07 -1.6 17.17 9.983 12.62 14.17
Change - -5,860% 240.1% -119.83% 1,173.12% -41.86% 26.37% 12.33%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 426,262 426,828 417,625 416,751 417,373 414,544 414,544 414,544
Announcement Date 2/24/22 A 2/17/23 A 2/15/24 A 2/14/25 A 2/12/26 A - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 33.4x 26.4x
PBR 8.72x 7.52x
EV / Sales 3.67x 3.28x
Yield 1.24% 1.55%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
22
Last Close Price
333.50EUR
Average target price
381.50EUR
Spread / Average Target
+14.39%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise