Projected Income Statement: Region Group

Forecast Balance Sheet: Region Group

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,320 1,368 1,500 1,559 1,551 1,633 1,696 1,753
Change - 3.64% 9.65% 3.93% -0.51% 5.26% 3.86% 3.36%
Announcement Date 8/16/21 A 8/15/22 A 8/14/23 A 8/12/24 A 8/18/25 A - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Region Group

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 515 23.2 18.6 20.7 20.9 56.64 79.88 82.88
Change - -95.5% -19.83% 11.29% 0.97% 170.99% 41.04% 3.75%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -370 156.2 158.2 162.1 133.5 116.5 105.6 107.6
Change - 142.22% 1.28% 2.47% -17.64% -12.75% -9.36% 1.9%
Announcement Date 8/16/21 A 8/15/22 A 8/14/23 A 8/12/24 A 8/18/25 A - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Region Group

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 77.99% 65.37% 63.8% 63.46% 64.04% 62.89% 63.2% 63.07%
EBIT Margin (%) 77.99% 65.37% 63.8% 63.46% 64.04% 62.79% 63.13% 63.06%
EBT Margin (%) 157.47% 139.17% -32.64% 4.6% 55.65% 67.02% 58.47% 57.62%
Net margin (%) 157.24% 139.05% -32.78% 4.55% 55.54% 75.86% 72.22% 72.75%
FCF margin (%) -125.68% 44.59% 41.95% 42.61% 34.89% 28.96% 25.08% 24.48%
FCF / Net Income (%) -79.93% 32.07% -127.99% 936.99% 62.82% 38.18% 34.73% 33.65%

Profitability

        
ROA 11.87% 4.1% 4.13% 3.89% 3.94% 3.87% 3.85% 3.9%
ROE 18.16% 6.58% 6.35% 6.21% 6.34% 6.19% 6.21% 6.3%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 5.75x 5.97x 6.23x 6.46x 6.33x 6.45x 6.37x 6.33x
Debt / Free cash flow -3.57x 8.76x 9.48x 9.62x 11.62x 14.02x 16.06x 16.3x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 174.93% 6.62% 4.93% 5.44% 5.46% 14.08% 18.98% 18.86%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 224.3% 10.13% 7.73% 8.57% 8.53% 22.39% 30.02% 29.9%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -139.19% 14.85% 11.76% 12.77% 15.66% 48.62% 75.67% 77.04%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.1476 0.174 0.1694 0.1538 0.155 0.1527 0.1612 0.1651
Change - 17.89% -2.64% -9.21% 0.78% -1.47% 5.58% 2.41%
Dividend per Share 1 0.124 0.152 0.152 0.137 0.137 0.1407 0.1466 0.1501
Change - 22.58% 0% -9.87% 0% 2.72% 4.17% 2.39%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.523 2.81 2.55 2.42 2.47 2.622 2.671 2.656
Change - 11.38% -9.25% -5.1% 2.07% 6.13% 1.89% -0.57%
EPS 1 0.428 0.438 -0.109 0.0148 0.182 0.2841 0.2694 0.2753
Change - 2.34% -124.89% 113.58% 1,129.73% 56.1% -5.18% 2.2%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,080,021 1,116,286 1,148,894 1,161,829 1,160,692 1,152,886 1,152,886 1,152,886
Announcement Date 8/16/21 A 8/15/22 A 8/14/23 A 8/12/24 A 8/18/25 A - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 7.81x 8.24x
PBR 0.85x 0.83x
EV / Sales 10.4x 10.1x
Yield 6.34% 6.6%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
2.220AUD
Average target price
2.475AUD
Spread / Average Target
+11.51%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. RGN Stock
  4. Financials Region Group