Projected Income Statement: Region Group

Forecast Balance Sheet: Region Group

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 1,368 1,500 1,559 1,551 1,615 1,677 1,735 1,779
Change - 9.65% 3.93% -0.51% 4.13% 3.83% 3.46% 2.54%
Announcement Date 8/15/22 A 8/14/23 A 8/12/24 A 8/18/25 A 8/17/26 A - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Region Group

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 23.2 18.6 20.7 20.9 146.1 79.68 85.68 79.48
Change - -19.83% 11.29% 0.97% 599.04% -45.46% 7.53% -7.24%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 156.2 158.2 162.1 133.5 35.9 124.9 128 130.7
Change - 1.28% 2.47% -17.64% -73.11% 247.95% 2.5% 2.12%
Announcement Date 8/15/22 A 8/14/23 A 8/12/24 A 8/18/25 A 8/17/26 A - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Region Group

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 65.37% 63.8% 63.46% 64.04% 58.85% 63.47% 63.45% 63.26%
EBIT Margin (%) 65.37% 63.8% 63.46% 64.04% 58.85% 63.33% 63.29% 63.26%
EBT Margin (%) 139.17% -32.64% 4.6% 55.65% 68.65% 56.03% 55.17% 54.19%
Net margin (%) 139.05% -32.78% 4.55% 55.54% 68.45% 60.51% 57.04% 57.79%
FCF margin (%) 44.59% 41.95% 42.61% 34.89% 9.14% 30.26% 29.55% 28.93%
FCF / Net Income (%) 32.07% -127.99% 936.99% 62.82% 13.36% 50% 51.81% 50.06%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.1% 4.13% 3.89% 3.94% 3.95% 4.28% 4.32% 4.26%
ROE 6.58% 6.35% 6.21% 6.34% 6.36% 6.2% 6.22% 6.18%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 5.97x 6.23x 6.46x 6.33x 6.99x 6.4x 6.31x 6.22x
Debt / Free cash flow 8.76x 9.48x 9.62x 11.62x 44.99x 13.43x 13.55x 13.6x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.62% 4.93% 5.44% 5.46% 37.2% 19.3% 19.78% 17.59%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 10.13% 7.73% 8.57% 8.53% 63.22% 30.41% 31.17% 27.8%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 14.85% 11.76% 12.77% 15.66% 406.96% 63.79% 66.92% 60.79%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.174 0.1694 0.1538 0.155 0.16 0.1555 0.1623 0.1595
Change - -2.64% -9.21% 0.78% 3.23% -2.83% 4.38% -1.7%
Dividend per Share 1 0.152 0.152 0.137 0.137 0.141 0.1456 0.1497 0.1501
Change - 0% -9.87% 0% 2.92% 3.24% 2.82% 0.29%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.81 2.55 2.42 2.47 2.57 2.673 2.679 2.77
Change - -9.25% -5.1% 2.07% 4.05% 4.01% 0.23% 3.36%
EPS 1 0.438 -0.109 0.0148 0.182 0.231 0.2441 0.2502 0.2572
Change - -124.89% 113.58% 1,129.73% 26.92% 5.66% 2.53% 2.8%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,116,286 1,148,894 1,161,829 1,160,692 1,148,742 1,148,742 1,148,742 1,148,742
Announcement Date 8/15/22 A 8/14/23 A 8/12/24 A 8/18/25 A 8/17/26 A - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 9.05x 8.83x
PBR 0.83x 0.82x
EV / Sales 10.2x 9.86x
Yield 6.59% 6.77%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
B
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
2.210AUD
Average target price
2.506AUD
Spread / Average Target
+13.39%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. RGN Stock
  4. Financials Region Group
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