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| 06-01 | Frontera Infrastructure Will Have US$64 Million Cash For Growth | MT |
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Projected Income Statement: Parex Resources Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 1,342 | 2,266 | 1,920 | 1,858 | 1,376 | 2,694 | 2,846 | 2,713 |
| Change | - | 68.86% | -15.27% | -3.23% | -25.93% | 95.77% | 5.63% | -4.67% |
| EBITDA 1 | 806 | 1,316 | 1,109 | 1,045 | 701.7 | 1,322 | 1,632 | 1,679 |
| Change | - | 63.25% | -15.75% | -5.73% | -32.85% | 88.4% | 23.41% | 2.91% |
| EBIT 1 | - | 1,108 | 845 | 966.8 | 427.6 | 1,478 | 1,429 | 1,018 |
| Change | - | - | -23.75% | 14.41% | -55.77% | 245.75% | -3.37% | -28.76% |
| Interest Paid 1 | - | -0.9554 | -2.573 | -20.31 | -3.779 | -67.11 | -87.31 | -155.1 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | - | - | - | 448.9 | 321.2 | 971.7 | 1,003 | 862.5 |
| Change | - | - | - | - | -28.43% | 202.5% | 3.23% | -14.01% |
| Net income 1 | - | 842.8 | - | 88.07 | 349 | 333 | 648.4 | 620.9 |
| Change | - | - | - | - | 296.26% | -4.57% | 94.71% | -4.24% |
| Announcement Date | 3/1/22 A | 3/8/23 A | 2/29/24 A | 3/5/25 A | 3/4/26 A | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Parex Resources Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | -474 | -569 | -60.6 | -49 | -85.6 | 811 | 556 | 222 |
| Change | - | -20.04% | 89.35% | 19.14% | -74.69% | 1,047.9% | -31.44% | -60.07% |
| Announcement Date | 3/1/22 A | 3/8/23 A | 2/29/24 A | 3/5/25 A | 3/4/26 A | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Parex Resources Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 351.9 | 899.6 | 656 | 501.1 | 424.1 | 1,001 | 729.7 | 697.4 |
| Change | - | 155.64% | -27.08% | -23.62% | -15.36% | 136% | -27.1% | -4.43% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 381.2 | 99.77 | 250.3 | 395.6 | 197.7 | -542.4 | 473.6 | 582.5 |
| Change | - | -73.82% | 150.89% | 58.05% | -50.03% | -374.35% | 187.31% | 23% |
| Announcement Date | 3/1/22 A | 3/8/23 A | 2/29/24 A | 3/5/25 A | 3/4/26 A | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Parex Resources Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | |||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | - | 60.07% | 58.07% | 57.74% | 56.26% | 51% | 49.08% | 57.34% | 61.89% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | - | - | 48.91% | 44.01% | 52.04% | 31.07% | 54.88% | 50.2% | 37.51% |
| EBT Margin (%) | - | - | - | - | 24.16% | 23.34% | 36.07% | 35.25% | 31.8% |
| Net margin (%) | - | - | 37.2% | - | 4.74% | 25.36% | 12.36% | 22.79% | 22.89% |
| FCF margin (%) | - | 28.41% | 4.4% | 13.04% | 21.3% | 14.37% | -20.13% | 16.64% | 21.47% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | - | - | 11.84% | - | 449.24% | 56.65% | -162.87% | 73.03% | 93.81% |
Profitability | |||||||||
| ROA | 7.12% | 19.04% | 23.81% | 13.55% | 11.06% | 7.13% | - | - | - |
| ROE | 7.24% | 22.17% | 39.33% | 25.03% | 3.2% | 13.48% | - | - | - |
Financial Health | |||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.61x | 0.34x | 0.13x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | - | - | - | - | - | -1.49x | 1.17x | 0.38x |
Capital Intensity | |||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | - | 26.22% | 39.7% | 34.17% | 26.97% | 30.82% | 37.15% | 25.64% | 25.71% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | - | 43.66% | 68.37% | 59.17% | 47.94% | 60.44% | 75.71% | 44.72% | 41.54% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | - | 92.32% | 901.62% | 262.06% | 126.65% | 214.52% | -184.53% | 154.08% | 119.72% |
Items per share | |||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | - | 5.836 | 8.792 | 8.53 | 8.905 | 6.396 | 10.54 | 12.4 | 12.84 |
| Change | - | - | 50.64% | -2.98% | 4.39% | -28.18% | 64.81% | 17.65% | 3.5% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | - | 0.6346 | 0.89 | 1.5 | 1.53 | 1.54 | 1.565 | 1.62 | - |
| Change | - | - | 40.24% | 68.54% | 2% | 0.65% | 1.62% | 3.51% | - |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Change | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| EPS 1 | - | - | 7.417 | 5.863 | 0.8708 | 3.584 | 3.334 | 6.568 | 6.298 |
| Change | - | - | - | -20.95% | -85.15% | 311.61% | -6.99% | 97% | -4.11% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | - | 120,452 | 109,109 | 104,172 | 98,534 | 96,324 | 96,180 | 96,180 | 96,180 |
| Announcement Date | - | 3/1/22 A | 3/8/23 A | 2/29/24 A | 3/5/25 A | 3/4/26 A | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 7.89x | 4.01x |
| PBR | - | - |
| EV / Sales | 1.24x | 1.08x |
| Yield | 5.95% | 6.16% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Annual profits - Rate of surprise
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