Projected Income Statement: Oriola Oyj

Forecast Balance Sheet: Oriola Oyj

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 101 -23.7 -20.6 -37.4 -82.1 -61.2 -80.4 -110
Change - -123.47% 13.08% -81.55% -119.52% 25.46% -31.37% -36.82%
Announcement Date 2/18/22 A 2/16/23 A 2/16/24 A 3/4/25 A 2/25/26 A - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Oriola Oyj

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 22.8 8.5 3.6 2.8 3.3 4.51 8.027 5.713
Change - -62.72% -57.65% -22.22% 17.86% 36.67% 77.97% -28.82%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 17.2 80.9 6 35.9 56.4 -16.57 23.03 24.87
Change - 370.35% -92.58% 498.33% 57.1% -129.37% 239.03% 7.96%
Announcement Date 2/18/22 A 2/16/23 A 2/16/24 A 3/4/25 A 2/25/26 A - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Oriola Oyj

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 3.78% 3.03% 3.49% 1.62% 1.84% 16.03% 17.57% 17.7%
EBIT Margin (%) 1.4% 1.17% 1.12% 1.29% 1.21% 11.19% 12.33% 11.51%
EBT Margin (%) 0.78% 0.46% -1.18% -1.11% -1.41% 1.04% 7.91% 9.31%
Net margin (%) 0.6% -0.16% -1.39% -1.2% -1.43% 0.67% 6.6% 7.87%
FCF margin (%) 0.91% 5.34% 0.4% 2.14% 2.96% -7.99% 10.59% 10.99%
FCF / Net Income (%) 152.21% -3,370.83% -28.99% -178.61% -207.35% -1,200.48% 160.51% 139.7%

Profitability

        
ROA 1% -0.23% -2.18% - - - - -
ROE 5.9% -1.1% -10.4% -13.2% -23.3% 1.5% 14% 17.3%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.42x - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 5.86x - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.21% 0.56% 0.24% 0.17% 0.17% 2.17% 3.69% 2.53%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 32.02% 18.52% 6.91% 10.29% 9.4% 13.56% 21.01% 14.27%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 132.56% 10.51% 60% 7.8% 5.85% -27.22% 34.85% 22.98%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.2205 0.4294 0.0529 0.2133 0.3255 0.01 0.185 0.27
Change - 94.75% -87.68% 303.21% 52.6% -96.93% 1,750% 45.95%
Dividend per Share 1 0.04 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.03 0.025 0.05 0.0575
Change - 50% 16.67% 0% -57.14% -16.67% 100% 15%
Book Value Per Share 1 1.2 1.24 0.94 0.74 0.54 0.5218 0.5736 0.6489
Change - 3.33% -24.19% -21.28% -27.03% -3.38% 9.93% 13.13%
EPS 1 0.06 -0.01 -0.11 -0.11 -0.15 0.01 0.0775 0.095
Change - -116.67% -1,000% 0% -36.36% 106.67% 675% 22.58%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 181,348 181,377 181,399 181,411 185,245 184,245 184,245 184,245
Announcement Date 2/18/22 A 2/16/23 A 2/16/24 A 3/4/25 A 2/25/26 A - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 92x 11.9x
PBR 1.76x 1.6x
EV / Sales 0.52x 0.41x
Yield 2.72% 5.43%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
4
Last Close Price
0.9200EUR
Average target price
0.9900EUR
Spread / Average Target
+7.61%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise