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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 329.90 DKK | -1.76% |
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+2.37% | +1.43% |
| 07-18 | Abbott investigates two separate cyber incidents, says no operations affected | RE |
| 07-17 | Novo Nordisk to launch lower-cost Ozempic copy in South Africa | RE |
Projected Income Statement: Novo Nordisk A/S
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 140,800 | 176,954 | 232,261 | 290,403 | 309,064 | 293,440 | 300,372 | 319,058 |
| Change | - | 25.68% | 31.26% | 25.03% | 6.43% | -5.06% | 2.36% | 6.22% |
| EBITDA 1 | 64,669 | 82,171 | 111,987 | 147,446 | 149,640 | 142,375 | 142,282 | 152,494 |
| Change | - | 27.06% | 36.29% | 31.66% | 1.49% | -4.85% | -0.07% | 7.18% |
| EBIT 1 | 58,644 | 74,809 | 102,574 | 128,339 | 127,658 | 121,023 | 121,306 | 129,723 |
| Change | - | 27.56% | 37.11% | 25.12% | -0.53% | -5.2% | 0.23% | 6.94% |
| Interest Paid 1 | 436 | -5,747 | 2,100 | -1,148 | 2,882 | -1,186 | -3,345 | -2,890 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 59,080 | 69,062 | 104,674 | 127,191 | 130,540 | 127,349 | 121,165 | 130,352 |
| Change | - | 16.9% | 51.57% | 21.51% | 2.63% | -2.44% | -4.86% | 7.58% |
| Net income 1 | 47,757 | 55,525 | 83,683 | 100,988 | 102,434 | 99,491 | 93,977 | 100,991 |
| Change | - | 16.27% | 50.71% | 20.68% | 1.43% | -2.87% | -5.54% | 7.46% |
| Announcement Date | 2/2/22 A | 2/1/23 A | 1/31/24 A | 2/5/25 A | 2/3/26 A | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Novo Nordisk A/S
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 9,160 | 2,210 | -3,224 | 76,479 | 103,996 | 127,049 | 125,828 | 110,836 |
| Change | - | -75.87% | -245.88% | 2,472.18% | 35.98% | 22.17% | -0.96% | -11.91% |
| Announcement Date | 2/2/22 A | 2/1/23 A | 1/31/24 A | 2/5/25 A | 2/3/26 A | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Novo Nordisk A/S
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 6,335 | 12,146 | 25,806 | 47,164 | 60,140 | 56,542 | 37,802 | 30,037 |
| Change | - | 91.73% | 112.47% | 82.76% | 27.51% | -5.98% | -33.14% | -20.54% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 29,319 | 57,362 | 68,326 | 73,804 | 58,962 | 46,271 | 71,062 | 80,467 |
| Change | - | 95.65% | 19.11% | 8.02% | -20.11% | -21.52% | 53.58% | 13.23% |
| Announcement Date | 2/2/22 A | 2/1/23 A | 1/31/24 A | 2/5/25 A | 2/3/26 A | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Novo Nordisk A/S
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 45.93% | 46.44% | 48.22% | 50.77% | 48.42% | 48.52% | 47.37% | 47.79% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 41.65% | 42.28% | 44.16% | 44.19% | 41.3% | 41.24% | 40.39% | 40.66% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 41.96% | 39.03% | 45.07% | 43.8% | 42.24% | 43.09% | 40.19% | 40.67% |
| Net margin (%) | 33.92% | 31.38% | 36.03% | 34.78% | 33.14% | 33.9% | 31.29% | 31.65% |
| FCF margin (%) | 20.82% | 32.42% | 29.42% | 25.41% | 19.08% | 15.77% | 23.66% | 25.22% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 61.39% | 103.31% | 81.65% | 73.08% | 57.56% | 46.51% | 75.62% | 79.68% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 28.14% | 25.48% | 30.12% | 25.88% | 20.31% | 18.57% | 16.65% | 17.18% |
| ROE | 71.24% | 72% | 88.07% | 80.78% | 60.7% | 45.68% | 37.89% | 36.73% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.14x | 0.03x | - | 0.52x | 0.69x | 0.89x | 0.88x | 0.73x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 0.31x | 0.04x | - | 1.04x | 1.76x | 2.75x | 1.77x | 1.38x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 4.5% | 6.86% | 11.11% | 16.24% | 19.46% | 19.27% | 12.59% | 9.41% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 9.8% | 14.78% | 23.04% | 31.99% | 40.19% | 39.71% | 26.57% | 19.7% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 21.61% | 21.17% | 37.77% | 63.9% | 102% | 122.2% | 53.2% | 37.33% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 11.94 | 17.36 | 24.23 | 27.1 | 26.78 | 23.8 | 25.85 | 27.26 |
| Change | - | 45.37% | 39.6% | 11.85% | -1.2% | -11.12% | 8.63% | 5.44% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 5.2 | 6.2 | 9.4 | 11.4 | 11.7 | 11.36 | 11.04 | 12.14 |
| Change | - | 19.23% | 51.61% | 21.28% | 2.63% | -2.94% | -2.8% | 9.94% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 15.31 | 18.31 | 23.77 | 32.31 | - | 51.7 | 58.11 | 65.48 |
| Change | - | 19.56% | 29.84% | 35.92% | - | - | 12.38% | 12.7% |
| EPS 1 | 10.37 | 12.22 | 18.62 | 22.63 | 23.03 | 22.84 | 21.12 | 23.06 |
| Change | - | 17.84% | 52.37% | 21.54% | 1.77% | -0.84% | -7.5% | 9.16% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 4,557,801 | 4,517,704 | 4,458,288 | 4,441,340 | 4,443,479 | 4,425,806 | 4,425,806 | 4,425,806 |
| Announcement Date | 2/2/22 A | 2/1/23 A | 1/31/24 A | 2/5/25 A | 2/3/26 A | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 14.4x | 15.6x |
| PBR | 6.38x | 5.68x |
| EV / Sales | 5.41x | 5.28x |
| Yield | 3.44% | 3.35% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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