Projected Income Statement: North American Construction Group Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: North American Construction Group Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet - North American Construction Group Ltd.
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 309 - 617 856 878 1,062 1,001 833
Change - - - 38.74% 2.57% 20.89% -5.74% -16.78%
Announcement Date 2/16/22 A 2/15/23 A 3/13/24 A 3/19/25 A 3/11/26 A - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: North American Construction Group Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 112.6 115.3 193.1 270.8 273.7 272.3 264 242.8
Change - 2.4% 67.51% 40.24% 1.08% -0.5% -3.06% -8.05%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 65.91 70.01 77.32 -53.17 -9.602 12.5 66.5 97
Change - 6.22% 10.44% -168.77% 81.94% 230.18% 432% 45.86%
Announcement Date 2/16/22 A 2/15/23 A 3/13/24 A 3/19/25 A 3/11/26 A - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: North American Construction Group Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 31.7% 31.88% 31.02% 33.48% 27.76% 26.4% 25.41% 26.52%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.17% 9.25% 10% 17.61% 8.5% 8.23% 9.12% 11.19%
EBT Margin (%) 9.28% - 8.98% 5.15% 4.4% 3.91% 5.07% -
Net margin (%) 7.86% - 6.6% 3.78% 2.63% 3.04% 3.79% 5.13%
FCF margin (%) 10.08% 9.1% 8.08% -4.56% -0.75% 0.82% 3.97% 6%
FCF / Net Income (%) 128.21% - 122.45% -120.6% -28.38% 27.06% 104.94% 116.87%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.02% - 5.96% 2.72% - - - -
ROE 19.51% 22.56% 22.71% 11.83% 8% 9% 14% 14%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.49x - 2.08x 2.19x 2.46x 2.65x 2.35x 1.94x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.69x - 7.98x -16.1x -91.49x 84.92x 15.05x 8.59x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 17.21% 14.98% 20.17% 23.23% 21.31% 17.93% 15.77% 15.01%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 54.29% 46.98% 65.02% 69.38% 76.76% 67.91% 62.06% 56.6%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 170.78% 164.64% 249.71% -509.28% -2,850.35% 2,178.67% 396.99% 250.26%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.866 6.19 8.95 6.583 9.072 10.74 11.62 11.88
Change - 27.21% 44.59% -26.44% 37.8% 18.36% 8.19% 2.26%
Dividend per Share 1 0.16 0.32 0.4 0.42 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48
Change - 100% 25% 5% 14.29% 0% 0% 0%
Book Value Per Share 1 9.275 11.58 10.8 14.56 16.34 17.56 19.56 22.07
Change - 24.84% -6.73% 34.86% 12.18% 7.49% 11.38% 12.84%
EPS 1 1.64 2.15 2.09 1.52 1.14 1.46 2.27 3.01
Change - 31.1% -2.79% -27.27% -25% 28.07% 55.48% 32.6%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 28,437 26,421 26,737 26,827 28,203 26,914 26,914 26,914
Announcement Date 2/16/22 A 2/15/23 A 3/13/24 A 3/19/25 A 3/11/26 A - - -
1CAD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 10.9x 7.02x
PBR 0.91x 0.81x
EV / Sales 0.98x 0.85x
Yield 3.01% 3.01%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - North American Construction Group Ltd.


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - North American Construction Group Ltd.
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - North American Construction Group Ltd.
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
MarketScreener Ratings - North American Construction Group Ltd.
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
15.94CAD
Average target price
25.00CAD
Spread / Average Target
+56.84%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - North American Construction Group Ltd.
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