Projected Income Statement: Mercialys

Forecast Balance Sheet: Mercialys

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,130 1,042 1,064 1,003 1,155 1,209 1,265 1,293
Change - -7.79% 2.11% -5.73% 15.15% 4.71% 4.63% 2.21%
Announcement Date 2/14/22 A 2/14/23 A 2/14/24 A 2/12/25 A 2/17/26 A - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Mercialys

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 - - 22.53 28.78 - 136 116 46
Change - - - 27.73% - - -14.71% -60.34%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 150.5 209.1 111.7 132.8 29.99 135 134 159
Change - 38.99% -46.57% 18.81% -77.41% 350.12% -0.74% 18.66%
Announcement Date 2/14/22 A 2/14/23 A 2/14/24 A 2/12/25 A 2/17/26 A - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Mercialys

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 84.01% 83.24% 83.93% 81.97% 82.45% 84.1% 82.86% 83.28%
EBIT Margin (%) 60.08% 61.3% 48.21% 56.89% 43.62% 76.41% 69.52% 68.76%
EBT Margin (%) 40.44% 28.94% 25.56% 30.69% 20.54% 67.61% 52.82% 52.16%
Net margin (%) 36.1% 24.87% 29.98% 29.94% 18.81% 56.49% 56.66% 57%
FCF margin (%) 87.36% 120.69% 62.77% 73.94% 16.61% 71.59% 67.67% 77.95%
FCF / Net Income (%) 241.97% 485.28% 209.35% 246.94% 88.31% 126.73% 119.43% 136.74%

Profitability

        
ROA - 4.47% 4.91% 5.25% 5.12% 5.9% 5.9% 6%
ROE - 14.37% 15.54% 17.29% 19.17% 20.8% 21.25% 22.05%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 7.81x 7.23x 7.12x 6.81x 7.75x 7.62x 7.71x 7.61x
Debt / Free cash flow 7.51x 4.98x 9.52x 7.55x 38.5x 8.96x 9.44x 8.13x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) - - 12.66% 16.03% - 72.12% 58.58% 22.55%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - - 15.08% 19.56% - 85.75% 70.7% 27.08%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - - 20.17% 21.68% - 100.74% 86.57% 28.93%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - 1.68 1.734 1.806 1.874
Change - - - - - 3.21% 4.13% 3.74%
Dividend per Share 1 0.92 0.96 0.99 1 1.002 1.024 1.045 1.068
Change - 4.35% 3.13% 1.01% 0.2% 2.23% 2.01% 2.23%
Book Value Per Share 1 18.39 18.42 16.29 16.29 16.96 16.22 17.13 17.45
Change - 0.16% -11.56% 0% 4.11% -4.36% 5.6% 1.9%
EPS 1 0.94 0.46 0.57 0.58 0.36 1.11 1.039 1.059
Change - -51.06% 23.91% 1.75% -37.93% 208.33% -6.42% 1.99%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 93,406 93,180 93,168 93,115 93,351 93,302 93,302 93,302
Announcement Date 2/14/22 A 2/14/23 A 2/14/24 A 2/12/25 A 2/17/26 A - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 10.8x 11.5x
PBR 0.74x 0.7x
EV / Sales 12.3x 12x
Yield 8.58% 8.75%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
11.94EUR
Average target price
13.62EUR
Spread / Average Target
+14.04%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise