Projected Income Statement: Mercialys

Forecast Balance Sheet: Mercialys

Forecast Balance Sheet - Mercialys
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,130 1,042 1,064 1,003 1,155 1,207 1,263 1,294
Change - -7.79% 2.11% -5.73% 15.15% 4.54% 4.64% 2.45%
Announcement Date 2/14/22 A 2/14/23 A 2/14/24 A 2/12/25 A 2/17/26 A - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Mercialys

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 - - 22.53 28.78 - 136 116 46
Change - - - 27.73% - - -14.71% -60.34%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 150.5 209.1 111.7 132.8 29.99 135 134 159
Change - 38.99% -46.57% 18.81% -77.41% 350.12% -0.74% 18.66%
Announcement Date 2/14/22 A 2/14/23 A 2/14/24 A 2/12/25 A 2/17/26 A - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Mercialys

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 84.01% 83.24% 83.93% 81.97% 82.45% 82.52% 83.23% 84.12%
EBIT Margin (%) 60.08% 61.3% 48.21% 56.89% 43.62% 75.56% 74.81% 74.08%
EBT Margin (%) 40.44% 28.94% 25.56% 30.69% 20.54% 43.91% 53.86% 52.83%
Net margin (%) 36.1% 24.87% 29.98% 29.94% 18.81% 52.12% 60.46% 62.96%
FCF margin (%) 87.36% 120.69% 62.77% 73.94% 16.61% 71.78% 69.13% 79.91%
FCF / Net Income (%) 241.97% 485.28% 209.35% 246.94% 88.31% 137.72% 114.33% 126.92%

Profitability

        
ROA - 4.47% 4.91% 5.25% 5.12% 5.9% 5.9% 6%
ROE - 14.37% 15.54% 17.29% 19.17% 14.23% 14.48% 14.74%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 7.81x 7.23x 7.12x 6.81x 7.75x 7.78x 7.83x 7.73x
Debt / Free cash flow 7.51x 4.98x 9.52x 7.55x 38.5x 8.94x 9.43x 8.14x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) - - 12.66% 16.03% - 72.31% 59.85% 23.12%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - - 15.08% 19.56% - 87.63% 71.9% 27.48%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - - 20.17% 21.68% - 100.74% 86.57% 28.93%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - 1.68 1.741 1.781 1.853
Change - - - - - 3.64% 2.28% 4.04%
Dividend per Share 1 0.92 0.96 0.99 1 1.002 1.025 1.051 1.074
Change - 4.35% 3.13% 1.01% 0.2% 2.31% 2.56% 2.17%
Book Value Per Share 1 18.39 18.42 16.29 16.29 16.96 17.21 17.54 17.94
Change - 0.16% -11.56% 0% 4.11% 1.45% 1.96% 2.26%
EPS 1 0.94 0.46 0.57 0.58 0.36 0.8771 1.111 1.119
Change - -51.06% 23.91% 1.75% -37.93% 143.64% 26.62% 0.74%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 93,406 93,180 93,168 93,115 93,351 93,302 93,302 93,302
Announcement Date 2/14/22 A 2/14/23 A 2/14/24 A 2/12/25 A 2/17/26 A - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 10.8x 8.49x
PBR 0.55x 0.54x
EV / Sales 11.1x 11.1x
Yield 10.9% 11.1%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Mercialys


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Mercialys
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Mercialys
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Ratings Surperformance© - Mercialys
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
9.430EUR
Average target price
12.95EUR
Spread / Average Target
+37.33%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - EPS - Annual - Mercialys