Projected Income Statement: LVMH

Forecast Balance Sheet: LVMH

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,607 27,847 30,671 31,143 27,567 23,732 20,303 16,830
Change - 189.86% 10.14% 1.54% -11.48% -13.91% -14.45% -17.11%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 A 1/26/23 A 1/25/24 A 1/28/25 A 1/27/26 A - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: LVMH

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,664 4,969 7,478 5,531 4,567 4,704 4,745 4,963
Change - 86.52% 50.49% -26.04% -17.43% 3.01% 0.87% 4.6%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 13,531 10,113 8,104 10,478 11,333 11,461 13,101 13,802
Change - -25.26% -19.87% 29.29% 8.16% 1.13% 14.31% 5.36%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 A 1/26/23 A 1/25/24 A 1/28/25 A 1/27/26 A - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: LVMH

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 35.79% 34.45% 34.8% 32.32% 31.87% 29.87% 30.86% 31.27%
EBIT Margin (%) 26.71% 26.59% 26.47% 23.11% 21.97% 21.78% 22.45% 22.85%
EBT Margin (%) 26.8% 25.4% 25.1% 21.39% 20.66% 20.99% 21.54% 22.11%
Net margin (%) 18.74% 17.79% 17.61% 14.82% 13.46% 13.86% 14.85% 15.5%
FCF margin (%) 21.07% 12.77% 9.41% 12.37% 14.02% 14.15% 15.35% 15.27%
FCF / Net Income (%) 112.42% 71.8% 53.41% 83.49% 104.18% 102.13% 103.39% 98.53%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.29% 10.84% 10.9% 12.37% 7.47% 7.96% 8.71% 9.52%
ROE 28.48% 27.55% 26.13% 27.88% 16.12% 16.1% 16.65% 17.04%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.42x 1.02x 1.02x 1.14x 1.07x 0.98x 0.77x 0.6x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.71x 2.75x 3.78x 2.97x 2.43x 2.07x 1.55x 1.22x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.15% 6.28% 8.68% 6.53% 5.65% 5.81% 5.56% 5.49%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 11.59% 18.21% 24.94% 20.21% 17.73% 19.45% 18.02% 17.57%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 19.69% 49.13% 92.28% 52.79% 40.3% 41.05% 36.22% 35.96%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 37.01 35.49 36.78 37.87 37.9 36.32 38.17 37.98
Change - -4.1% 3.63% 2.98% 0.08% -4.16% 5.08% -0.5%
Dividend per Share 1 7 12 13 13 13 13.04 14.07 14.9
Change - 71.43% 8.33% 0% 0% 0.33% 7.88% 5.88%
Book Value Per Share 1 93.56 109.8 122.2 135.1 135.5 144.1 156.7 169.4
Change - 17.31% 11.29% 10.62% 0.28% 6.35% 8.75% 8.11%
EPS 1 23.89 28.03 30.33 25.12 21.85 22.52 25.59 28.35
Change - 17.33% 8.21% -17.18% -13.02% 3.07% 13.6% 10.79%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 503,785 501,103 499,410 499,744 495,126 493,099 493,099 493,099
Announcement Date 1/27/22 A 1/26/23 A 1/25/24 A 1/28/25 A 1/27/26 A - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 21.1x 18.6x
PBR 3.3x 3.03x
EV / Sales 3.19x 2.98x
Yield 2.74% 2.96%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
25
Last Close Price
475.15EUR
Average target price
569.12EUR
Spread / Average Target
+19.78%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise