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Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 9,630.00 CHF | -0.10% |
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+4.11% | -16.91% |
| 07-09 | Barry Callebaut volumes recover, analysts question cocoa price assumptions | RE |
| 07-09 | Barry Callebaut's Q3 volumes rise for first time in two years | RE |
Projected Income Statement: Lindt
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 4,586 | 4,970 | 5,201 | 5,468 | 5,916 | 6,048 | 6,363 | 6,749 |
| Change | - | 8.39% | 4.65% | 5.14% | 8.18% | 2.23% | 5.21% | 6.07% |
| EBITDA 1 | 921.5 | 1,018 | 1,094 | 1,182 | 1,271 | 1,306 | 1,400 | 1,500 |
| Change | - | 10.44% | 7.49% | 8.01% | 7.56% | 2.75% | 7.25% | 7.08% |
| EBIT 1 | 644.9 | 744.6 | 813.1 | 884.2 | 971 | 999.2 | 1,079 | 1,160 |
| Change | - | 15.46% | 9.2% | 8.74% | 9.82% | 2.91% | 7.98% | 7.49% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -23.2 | -23.1 | -25.6 | -32.9 | -47.5 | -41.5 | -37.9 | -37.68 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 621.7 | 721.5 | 787.5 | 851.3 | 923.5 | 962.9 | 1,049 | 1,131 |
| Change | - | 16.05% | 9.15% | 8.1% | 8.48% | 4.27% | 8.89% | 7.83% |
| Net income 1 | 490.5 | 569.7 | 671.4 | 672.3 | 727.2 | 745.7 | 803.8 | 864.7 |
| Change | - | 16.15% | 17.85% | 0.13% | 8.17% | 2.54% | 7.8% | 7.57% |
| Announcement Date | 3/8/22 A | 3/7/23 A | 3/5/24 A | 3/4/25 A | 3/10/26 A | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Lindt
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 295 | 571 | 943 | 649 | 1,096 | 874 | 807 | 750 |
| Change | - | 93.56% | 65.15% | -31.18% | 68.88% | -20.27% | -7.67% | -7.06% |
| Announcement Date | 3/8/22 A | 3/7/23 A | 3/5/24 A | 3/4/25 A | 3/10/26 A | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Lindt
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 240.8 | 229.9 | 301 | 312 | 332.7 | 332.8 | 350.8 | 369.9 |
| Change | - | -4.53% | 30.93% | 3.65% | 6.63% | 0.03% | 5.39% | 5.45% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 586 | 526.1 | 477.6 | 870 | 187.7 | 787.5 | 783.6 | 810.5 |
| Change | - | -10.22% | -9.22% | 82.16% | -78.43% | 319.55% | -0.5% | 3.43% |
| Announcement Date | 3/8/22 A | 3/7/23 A | 3/5/24 A | 3/4/25 A | 3/10/26 A | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Lindt
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 20.1% | 20.48% | 21.03% | 21.61% | 21.48% | 21.59% | 22.01% | 22.22% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 14.06% | 14.98% | 15.63% | 16.17% | 16.41% | 16.52% | 16.96% | 17.19% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 13.56% | 14.52% | 15.14% | 15.57% | 15.61% | 15.92% | 16.48% | 16.75% |
| Net margin (%) | 10.7% | 11.46% | 12.91% | 12.29% | 12.29% | 12.33% | 12.63% | 12.81% |
| FCF margin (%) | 12.78% | 10.59% | 9.18% | 15.91% | 3.17% | 13.02% | 12.32% | 12.01% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 119.47% | 92.35% | 71.13% | 129.41% | 25.81% | 105.61% | 97.48% | 93.74% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 5.77% | 6.74% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.97% | 8.1% | 8.68% | 9.31% |
| ROE | 9.99% | 11.84% | 15.51% | 14.78% | 14.85% | 15.02% | 15.54% | 16.25% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.32x | 0.56x | 0.86x | 0.55x | 0.86x | 0.67x | 0.58x | 0.5x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 0.5x | 1.09x | 1.98x | 0.75x | 5.84x | 1.11x | 1.03x | 0.93x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 5.25% | 4.63% | 5.79% | 5.71% | 5.62% | 5.5% | 5.51% | 5.48% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 26.13% | 22.59% | 27.52% | 26.41% | 26.18% | 25.49% | 25.05% | 24.67% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 41.09% | 43.7% | 63.02% | 35.86% | 177.25% | 42.26% | 44.76% | 45.64% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 3,404 | 3,168 | 3,350 | 5,129 | 2,264 | 4,753 | 4,846 | 6,274 |
| Change | - | -6.94% | 5.75% | 53.1% | -55.86% | 109.94% | 1.95% | 29.48% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 1,200 | 1,300 | 1,400 | 1,500 | 1,800 | 1,854 | 1,996 | 2,115 |
| Change | - | 8.33% | 7.69% | 7.14% | 20% | 3.03% | 7.63% | 5.95% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 21,818 | 18,662 | 18,131 | 20,860 | 21,381 | 22,077 | 22,907 | 23,852 |
| Change | - | -14.47% | -2.85% | 15.05% | 2.5% | 3.26% | 3.76% | 4.12% |
| EPS 1 | 2,019 | 2,387 | 2,859 | 2,898 | 3,137 | 3,210 | 3,482 | 3,754 |
| Change | - | 18.21% | 19.77% | 1.35% | 8.25% | 2.33% | 8.5% | 7.8% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 241 | 232 | 233 | 231 | 230 | 230.3 | 230.3 | 230.3 |
| Announcement Date | 3/8/22 A | 3/7/23 A | 3/5/24 A | 3/4/25 A | 3/10/26 A | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 30.7x | 28.3x |
| PBR | 4.46x | 4.3x |
| EV / Sales | 3.86x | 3.66x |
| Yield | 1.88% | 2.03% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Investor
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Global
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Quality
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ESG MSCI
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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