Projected Income Statement: Kao Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Kao Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -208,332 -140,412 -153,183 -226,654 -80,140 -188,164 -205,301 -242,877
Change - 32.6% -9.1% -47.96% 64.64% -134.79% -9.11% -18.3%
Announcement Date 2/3/22 A 2/2/23 A 2/7/24 A 2/6/25 A 2/5/26 A - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Kao Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 87,766 94,567 93,178 93,530 101,136 87,975 90,889 92,244
Change - 7.75% -1.47% 0.38% 8.13% -13.01% 3.31% 1.49%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 108,292 - 109,303 108,055 98,544 128,679 136,624 148,616
Change - - - -1.14% -8.8% 30.58% 6.17% 8.78%
Announcement Date 2/3/22 A 2/2/23 A 2/7/24 A 2/6/25 A 2/5/26 A - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Kao Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.27% 12.88% 9.76% 14.43% 14.8% 15.63% 15.8% 16.19%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.12% 7.1% 3.92% 9.01% 9.72% 10.56% 10.87% 11.35%
EBT Margin (%) 10.57% 7.47% 4.17% 9.27% 10.06% 10.83% 11.12% 11.59%
Net margin (%) 7.73% 5.55% 2.86% 6.62% 7.11% 7.63% 7.92% 8.22%
FCF margin (%) 7.63% - 7.13% 6.64% 5.84% 7.16% 7.34% 7.72%
FCF / Net Income (%) 98.77% - 249.15% 100.27% 82.06% 93.89% 92.67% 93.94%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.9% 6.75% 3.65% 8.3% 6.42% 7.18% 7.3% 7.62%
ROE 11.6% 8.9% 4.5% 10.5% 11.3% 12.74% 12.94% 13.33%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.19% 6.1% 6.08% 5.74% 5.99% 4.9% 4.88% 4.79%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 38.02% 47.33% 62.27% 39.79% 40.47% 31.32% 30.89% 29.61%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 81.05% - 85.25% 86.56% 102.63% 68.37% 66.53% 62.07%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 207.1 187.2 143.6 211.1 223.2 249.5 253.2 272.7
Change - -9.62% -23.32% 47.07% 5.71% 11.77% 1.52% 7.68%
Dividend per Share 1 72 74 75 76 77 78.12 79.42 80.73
Change - 2.78% 1.35% 1.33% 1.32% 1.46% 1.65% 1.65%
Book Value Per Share 1 1,018 1,046 1,058 1,148 1,176 1,251 1,306 1,390
Change - 2.68% 1.19% 8.54% 2.43% 6.37% 4.39% 6.45%
EPS 1 115.3 91.64 47.18 116 130.2 153.7 164 177
Change - -20.52% -48.51% 145.78% 12.23% 18.12% 6.65% 7.95%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 947,760 929,661 929,726 928,972 904,635 904,758 904,758 904,758
Announcement Date 2/3/22 A 2/2/23 A 2/7/24 A 2/6/25 A 2/5/26 A - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 23.5x 22.1x
PBR 2.89x 2.77x
EV / Sales 1.72x 1.65x
Yield 2.16% 2.19%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
3,619.00JPY
Average target price
3,845.00JPY
Spread / Average Target
+6.24%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. 4452 Stock
  4. Financials Kao Corporation