Projected Income Statement: Essity AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 55,433 62,869 53,703 30,769 26,543 28,748 24,950 21,109
Change - 13.41% -14.58% -42.71% -13.73% 8.31% -13.21% -15.39%
Announcement Date 1/26/22 A 1/26/23 A 1/25/24 A 1/23/25 A 1/22/26 A - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 7,358 6,949 6,850 7,396 7,090 8,043 8,012 7,930
Change - -5.56% -1.42% 7.97% -4.14% 13.44% -0.38% -1.02%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 7,309 5,925 12,227 9,773 8,369 10,269 11,906 12,998
Change - -18.94% 106.36% -20.07% -14.37% 22.7% 15.95% 9.17%
Announcement Date 1/26/22 A 1/26/23 A 1/25/24 A 1/23/25 A 1/22/26 A - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.44% 13.06% 17.01% 18.22% 18.57% 17.88% 18.4% 18.8%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.53% 7.65% 12.09% 13.22% 13.38% 12.96% 13.5% 13.95%
EBT Margin (%) 10.29% 5.19% 8.69% 11.24% 12.39% 11.68% 12.4% 12.88%
Net margin (%) 7.07% 3.56% 6.49% 14.35% 9.14% 8.68% 9.24% 9.61%
FCF margin (%) 6% 3.79% 8.31% 6.71% 6.04% 7.37% 8.26% 8.8%
FCF / Net Income (%) 84.79% 106.43% 127.98% 46.79% 66.13% 84.87% 89.45% 91.57%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.23% 2.89% 4.62% 10.76% 7.18% 7.04% 7.34% 7.69%
ROE 15% 8.1% 12.5% 13.4% 15.2% 14.49% 14.69% 14.68%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.77x 3.08x 2.15x 1.16x 1.03x 1.15x 0.94x 0.76x
Debt / Free cash flow 7.58x 10.61x 4.39x 3.15x 3.17x 2.8x 2.1x 1.62x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.04% 4.45% 4.66% 5.08% 5.12% 5.77% 5.56% 5.37%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 36.72% 34.08% 27.37% 27.89% 27.56% 32.29% 30.23% 28.56%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 100.67% 117.28% 56.02% 75.68% 84.72% 78.32% 67.29% 61.01%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 20.89 18.33 27.16 24.52 22.44 26.94 28.92 30.99
Change - -12.26% 48.18% -9.74% -8.48% 20.07% 7.36% 7.15%
Dividend per Share 1 7 7.25 7.75 8.25 - 9.185 9.705 10.23
Change - 3.57% 6.9% 6.45% - - 5.66% 5.39%
Book Value Per Share 1 85.29 95.89 100.9 126.1 124.3 133.6 143.1 154.3
Change - 12.42% 5.2% 25.01% -1.45% 7.49% 7.1% 7.85%
EPS 1 12.27 7.93 13.6 29.83 18.37 17.83 19.81 21.26
Change - -35.37% 71.5% 119.34% -38.42% -2.95% 11.11% 7.31%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 702,342 702,342 702,342 694,998 683,049 679,243 679,243 679,243
Announcement Date 1/26/22 A 1/26/23 A 1/25/24 A 1/23/25 A 1/22/26 A - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 15.1x 13.6x
PBR 2.02x 1.88x
EV / Sales 1.52x 1.44x
Yield 3.41% 3.6%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
269.30SEK
Average target price
266.13SEK
Spread / Average Target
-1.18%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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