Projected Income Statement: Eli Lilly and Company

Forecast Balance Sheet: Eli Lilly and Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 12,976 14,027 22,298 30,221 35,235 17,453 -3,030 -32,061
Change - 8.1% 58.96% 35.53% 16.59% -50.47% -117.36% -958.12%
Announcement Date 2/3/22 A 2/2/23 A 2/6/24 A 2/6/25 A 2/4/26 A - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Eli Lilly and Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,310 1,854 3,448 5,058 7,841 6,797 6,504 6,367
Change - 41.57% 85.92% 46.7% 55.03% -13.31% -4.32% -2.1%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,951 5,230 792.5 3,760 8,972 23,075 29,802 36,275
Change - -12.11% -84.85% 374.46% 138.61% 157.19% 29.15% 21.72%
Announcement Date 2/3/22 A 2/2/23 A 2/6/24 A 2/6/25 A 2/4/26 A - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Eli Lilly and Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 35.33% 33.19% 25.15% 35.7% 44.91% 48.57% 51.9% 53.25%
EBIT Margin (%) 29.86% 27.85% 20.68% 31.78% 41.84% 47.63% 48.92% 49.92%
EBT Margin (%) 21.74% 23.85% 19.21% 28.15% 39.48% 39.69% 46.31% 48.31%
Net margin (%) 19.71% 21.88% 15.36% 23.51% 31.67% 36.34% 38.54% 40.65%
FCF margin (%) 21.01% 18.32% 2.32% 8.35% 13.77% 27.06% 30.36% 32.8%
FCF / Net Income (%) 106.61% 83.75% 15.12% 35.51% 43.47% 74.47% 78.77% 80.68%

Profitability

        
ROA 15.58% 14.62% 9.23% 14.84% 22.77% 24.67% 26.78% 25.46%
ROE 101.73% 73.22% 48.93% 84.84% 106.69% 86.39% 62.66% 51.27%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.3x 1.48x 2.6x 1.88x 1.2x 0.42x - -
Debt / Free cash flow 2.18x 2.68x 28.14x 8.04x 3.93x 0.76x - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.63% 6.5% 10.1% 11.23% 12.03% 7.97% 6.63% 5.76%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 13.09% 19.58% 40.16% 31.46% 26.79% 16.41% 12.77% 10.81%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 22.01% 35.45% 435.03% 134.51% 87.39% 29.46% 21.82% 17.55%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 7.964 7.831 4.694 9.754 18.7 36.38 43.9 48.9
Change - -1.67% -40.06% 107.79% 91.67% 94.6% 20.67% 11.4%
Dividend per Share 1 3.4 3.92 4.52 5.2 6 6.822 7.544 8.359
Change - 15.29% 15.31% 15.04% 15.38% 13.7% 10.58% 10.8%
Book Value Per Share 1 9.411 11.2 11.93 15.76 29.57 57.27 87.32 125.9
Change - 19.04% 6.45% 32.16% 87.64% 93.65% 52.48% 44.17%
EPS 1 6.12 6.9 5.8 11.71 22.95 34.18 42.23 50.14
Change - 12.75% -15.94% 101.9% 95.99% 48.91% 23.56% 18.74%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 906,592 950,178 899,307 900,432 895,381 891,741 891,741 891,741
Announcement Date 2/3/22 A 2/2/23 A 2/6/24 A 2/6/25 A 2/4/26 A - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 33.3x 26.9x
PBR 19.8x 13x
EV / Sales 12.1x 10.3x
Yield 0.6% 0.66%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
31
Last Close Price
1,136.37USD
Average target price
1,215.79USD
Spread / Average Target
+6.99%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
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  3. LLY Stock
  4. Financials Eli Lilly and Company
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