Projected Income Statement: Card Factory plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Card Factory plc

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 194 163 135 169 191 195 182 172
Change - -15.98% -17.18% 25.19% 13.02% 2.04% -6.67% -5.49%
Announcement Date 5/3/22 A 5/3/23 A 4/30/24 A 5/7/25 A 4/28/26 A - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Card Factory plc

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 6.9 18.2 27.8 18.4 19.4 24 21.8 21.67
Change - 163.77% 52.75% -33.81% 5.43% 23.71% -9.17% -0.61%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 106.8 81.7 77.4 70.5 40.7 37.5 38.93 40.49
Change - -23.5% -5.26% -8.91% -42.27% -7.87% 3.83% 4%
Announcement Date 5/3/22 A 5/3/23 A 4/30/24 A 5/7/25 A 4/28/26 A - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Card Factory plc

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 23.49% 24.17% 24% 23.5% 21.21% 21.32% 21.22% 21.02%
EBIT Margin (%) 8.67% 13.77% 14.95% 14.62% 12.27% 11.93% 11.9% 11.67%
EBT Margin (%) 3.05% 11.31% 12.84% 11.82% 7.53% 9.11% 9.31% 9.22%
Net margin (%) 2.22% 9.54% 9.69% 8.81% 5.35% 6.77% 6.92% 6.88%
FCF margin (%) 29.31% 17.63% 15.15% 13% 6.98% 6.16% 6.15% 6.18%
FCF / Net Income (%) 1,318.52% 184.84% 156.36% 147.49% 130.45% 90.95% 88.96% 89.9%

Profitability

        
ROA - - - - - - - -
ROE 3.8% 18.12% 16.95% 14.43% 11.74% 11.95% 12.37% 12.16%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.27x 1.45x 1.1x 1.33x 1.55x 1.5x 1.36x 1.25x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.82x 1.99x 1.75x 2.4x 4.7x 5.2x 4.68x 4.26x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.89% 3.93% 5.44% 3.39% 3.33% 3.94% 3.45% 3.31%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.06% 16.25% 22.68% 14.43% 15.7% 18.48% 16.23% 15.74%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 6.46% 22.28% 35.92% 26.1% 47.67% 64% 55.99% 53.51%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.3309 - - 0.2546 0.3161 0.272 0.2672 0.2408
Change - - - - 24.16% -13.94% -1.79% -9.86%
Dividend per Share 1 - - 0.045 0.048 0.05 0.0534 0.0572 0.0607
Change - - - 6.67% 4.17% 6.84% 7.15% 5.97%
Book Value Per Share 1 0.6391 0.7798 0.9094 0.9934 1.016 1.104 1.206 1.248
Change - 22.02% 16.62% 9.24% 2.26% 8.67% 9.28% 3.47%
EPS 1 0.024 0.128 0.143 0.137 0.089 0.1261 0.1374 0.1427
Change - 433.33% 11.72% -4.2% -35.04% 41.72% 8.9% 3.89%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 341,878 342,636 345,576 348,005 345,817 337,968 337,968 337,968
Announcement Date 5/3/22 A 5/3/23 A 4/30/24 A 5/7/25 A 4/28/26 A - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 6.63x 6.09x
PBR 0.76x 0.69x
EV / Sales 0.78x 0.73x
Yield 6.39% 6.85%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
0.8360GBP
Average target price
1.109GBP
Spread / Average Target
+32.60%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. CARD Stock
  4. Financials Card Factory plc