Projected Income Statement: Arabian Internet and Communication Services Company

Forecast Balance Sheet: Arabian Internet and Communication Services Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -1,576 -544 -2,728 -2,967 -1,101 -1,725 -2,502 -3,212
Change - 65.48% -401.47% -8.76% 62.89% -56.7% -45.04% -28.38%
Announcement Date 2/20/22 A 2/28/23 A 2/27/24 A 2/17/25 A 2/16/26 A - - -
1SAR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Arabian Internet and Communication Services Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 154.9 505.7 112 255.2 191.1 302 309 314.5
Change - 226.38% -77.85% 127.85% -25.12% 58.04% 2.31% 1.78%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,224 1,570 1,150 1,254 -291.8 1,240 1,643 1,803
Change - 28.31% -26.76% 9.05% -123.27% 525.01% 32.52% 9.71%
Announcement Date 2/20/22 A 2/28/23 A 2/27/24 A 2/17/25 A 2/16/26 A - - -
1SAR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Arabian Internet and Communication Services Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 13.95% 15.81% 15.12% 16.15% 15.61% 15.52% 15.55% 15.74%
EBIT Margin (%) 11.5% 13.18% 12.56% 13.77% 12.89% 12.73% 13.07% 13.34%
EBT Margin (%) 11.57% 13.3% 12.72% 13.61% 12.92% 12.62% 13.31% 13.09%
Net margin (%) 10.66% 11.96% 10.8% 13.23% 11.81% 11.71% 12.17% 12.18%
FCF margin (%) 15.66% 17.83% 10.42% 10.4% -2.29% 9.14% 11.08% 11.49%
FCF / Net Income (%) 146.93% 149.14% 96.46% 78.54% -19.41% 78.01% 91.05% 94.35%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.33% 12.06% 10.92% 13.56% 12.04% 11.47% 11.98% 11.82%
ROE 39.72% 41.58% 38.87% 43.56% 36.24% 33.47% 33.3% 31.3%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.98% 5.74% 1.01% 2.12% 1.5% 2.23% 2.08% 2%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 14.21% 36.32% 6.71% 13.1% 9.62% 14.33% 13.4% 12.74%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 12.66% 32.21% 9.74% 20.35% -65.5% 24.36% 18.8% 17.45%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 11.49 17.3 14.29 12.58 -0.8389 14.89 15.74 18.04
Change - 50.57% -17.43% -11.96% -106.67% 1,875.52% 5.7% 14.6%
Dividend per Share 1 4 4 5.95 6 8 8.558 9.652 10.26
Change - 0% 48.75% 0.84% 33.33% 6.97% 12.79% 6.34%
Book Value Per Share 1 19.11 23.49 27.94 33.68 36.02 40.92 47.01 53.35
Change - 22.89% 18.95% 20.54% 6.94% 13.61% 14.89% 13.5%
EPS 1 6.94 8.77 9.93 13.31 12.52 13.27 14.94 15.94
Change - 26.37% 13.23% 34.04% -5.94% 5.98% 12.62% 6.68%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 118,800 118,800 118,977 119,000 119,041 119,041 119,041 119,041
Announcement Date 2/20/22 A 2/28/23 A 2/27/24 A 2/17/25 A 2/16/26 A - - -
1SAR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 16.1x 14.3x
PBR 5.22x 4.54x
EV / Sales 1.75x 1.54x
Yield 4.01% 4.52%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
213.50SAR
Average target price
249.62SAR
Spread / Average Target
+16.92%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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