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Pre-market 17:02:13 | |||
| 133.27 USD | -1.71% |
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129.38 | -2.92% |
| 03:48pm | Food-Delivery War Pushes JD.com to First Loss in Nearly Four Years -- Update | DJ |
| 02:47pm | Alibaba Forms AI Task Force Led by CEO Eddie Wu | MT |
Projected Income Statement: Alibaba Group Holding Limited
| Fiscal Period: March | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 717,289 | 853,062 | 868,687 | 941,168 | 996,347 | 1,039,834 | 1,144,946 | 1,256,908 |
| Change | - | 18.93% | 1.83% | 8.34% | 5.86% | 4.36% | 10.11% | 9.78% |
| EBITDA 1 | 196,842 | 158,205 | 175,710 | 191,668 | 202,325 | 143,700 | 197,022 | 255,614 |
| Change | - | -19.63% | 11.06% | 9.08% | 5.56% | -28.98% | 37.11% | 29.74% |
| EBIT 1 | 89,678 | 69,638 | 100,351 | 113,350 | 140,905 | 85,914 | 140,481 | 181,723 |
| Change | - | -22.35% | 44.1% | 12.95% | 24.31% | -39.03% | 63.51% | 29.36% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -4,476 | -4,909 | -5,918 | -7,947 | -9,596 | -10,161 | -9,601 | -10,452 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 165,578 | 59,550 | 89,185 | 101,596 | 155,455 | 124,089 | 157,292 | 197,085 |
| Change | - | -64.04% | 49.76% | 13.92% | 53.01% | -20.18% | 26.76% | 25.3% |
| Net income 1 | 150,308 | 61,959 | 72,509 | 79,741 | 129,470 | 106,516 | 131,237 | 162,396 |
| Change | - | -58.78% | 17.03% | 9.97% | 62.36% | -17.73% | 23.21% | 23.74% |
| Announcement Date | 5/13/21 A | 5/26/22 A | 5/18/23 A | 5/14/24 A | 5/15/25 A | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Alibaba Group Holding Limited
| Fiscal Period: March | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | -181,940 | -48,554 | -31,732 | -77,349 | 49,382 | -181,513 | -208,820 | -308,971 |
| Change | - | 73.31% | 34.65% | -143.76% | 163.84% | -467.57% | -15.04% | -47.96% |
| Announcement Date | 5/13/21 A | 5/26/22 A | 5/18/23 A | 5/14/24 A | 5/15/25 A | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Alibaba Group Holding Limited
| Fiscal Period: March | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 39,523 | 42,028 | 30,373 | 27,579 | 84,278 | 126,273 | 135,281 | 143,499 |
| Change | - | 6.34% | -27.73% | -9.2% | 205.59% | 49.83% | 7.13% | 6.07% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 192,263 | 98,874 | 171,663 | 156,210 | 73,870 | 48,735 | 82,422 | 123,410 |
| Change | - | -48.57% | 73.62% | -9% | -52.71% | -34.03% | 69.12% | 49.73% |
| Announcement Date | 5/13/21 A | 5/26/22 A | 5/18/23 A | 5/14/24 A | 5/15/25 A | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Alibaba Group Holding Limited
| Fiscal Period: March | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 27.44% | 18.55% | 20.23% | 20.36% | 20.31% | 13.82% | 17.21% | 20.34% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 12.5% | 8.16% | 11.55% | 12.04% | 14.14% | 8.26% | 12.27% | 14.46% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 23.08% | 6.98% | 10.27% | 10.79% | 15.6% | 11.93% | 13.74% | 15.68% |
| Net margin (%) | 20.96% | 7.26% | 8.35% | 8.47% | 12.99% | 10.24% | 11.46% | 12.92% |
| FCF margin (%) | 26.8% | 11.59% | 19.76% | 16.6% | 7.41% | 4.69% | 7.2% | 9.82% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 127.91% | 159.58% | 236.75% | 195.9% | 57.06% | 45.75% | 62.8% | 75.99% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 10.01% | 8.48% | 4.21% | 9% | 8.85% | 5.66% | 7.01% | 8% |
| ROE | 17.76% | 15.22% | 7.48% | 16.03% | 15.82% | 9.49% | 11.21% | 12.6% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | 0.24x | - | - | - |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | - | - | - | 0.67x | - | - | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 5.51% | 4.93% | 3.5% | 2.93% | 8.46% | 12.14% | 11.82% | 11.42% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 20.08% | 26.57% | 17.29% | 14.39% | 41.65% | 87.87% | 68.66% | 56.14% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 20.56% | 42.51% | 17.69% | 17.66% | 114.09% | 259.1% | 164.13% | 116.28% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 84.35 | 52.43 | 75.65 | 71.53 | 67.71 | 68.69 | 101.8 | 115.4 |
| Change | - | -37.85% | 44.29% | -5.44% | -5.34% | 1.45% | 48.16% | 13.37% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | - | - | - | 12.02 | 14.34 | 7.299 | 7.572 | 7.959 |
| Change | - | - | - | - | 19.25% | -49.08% | 3.74% | 5.11% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 341.2 | 348.3 | 374.8 | 386.5 | 418.2 | 472.5 | 526.6 | 596.4 |
| Change | - | 2.1% | 7.6% | 3.12% | 8.2% | 12.99% | 11.45% | 13.25% |
| EPS 1 | 54.7 | 22.74 | 27.46 | 31.24 | 53.59 | 47.31 | 54.19 | 70.89 |
| Change | - | -58.43% | 20.76% | 13.77% | 71.54% | -11.72% | 14.53% | 30.83% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 2,711,119 | 2,687,500 | 2,565,752 | 2,506,837 | 2,309,279 | 2,235,461 | 2,235,461 | 2,235,461 |
| Announcement Date | 5/13/21 A | 5/26/22 A | 5/18/23 A | 5/14/24 A | 5/15/25 A | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 19.4x | 17x |
| PBR | 1.95x | 1.75x |
| EV / Sales | 1.8x | 1.61x |
| Yield | 0.79% | 0.82% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
This super rating is the result of a weighted average of the rankings based on the following ratings: Global Valuation (Composite), EPS Revisions (4 months), and Visibility (Composite). We recommend that you carefully review the associated descriptions.
Investor
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Global
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Quality
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ESG MSCI
The MSCI ESG score assesses a company’s environmental, social, and governance practices relative to its industry peers. Companies are rated from CCC (laggard) to AAA (leader). This rating helps investors incorporate sustainability risks and opportunities into their investment decisions.
Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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- Financials Alibaba Group Holding Limited
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